Pirates vs Cardinals
Bats, bullpens, and Busch–who bends first?

Pirates (56-74) VS Cardinals (64-66)
25 Aug 2025 | 7:45 p.m. ET | Busch Stadium, St. Louis


St. Louis comes in with momentum and the benefit of a healthier roster, giving them an edge over a Pittsburgh team still battling through key absences. The Cardinals’ lineup has regained balance, and their starter has historically handled this matchup well, especially at home. While Pittsburgh’s rotation piece has been steady on the road, the lack of offensive depth behind him makes it difficult to fully support their chances. With St. Louis playing cleaner baseball at the moment, the prediction tilts toward the home side as the sharper bet.
From a betting perspective, the moderate price makes the Cardinals appealing given their combination of lineup health, pitching comfort, and current form. Pittsburgh’s roster limitations leave them thin if they fall behind, and the matchup favors St. Louis to carry their winning run forward. The pick here is the Cardinals, with confidence in their ability to extend their streak at home against a divisional opponent.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 25/08/2025 at 9:22am
Both starters enter in shaky form, and with each bullpen struggling to limit traffic recently, this matchup sets up well for offense. Warm, hitter-friendly conditions at Busch only add to the likelihood of balls carrying, which increases the chance of runs piling up. Pittsburgh has already been involved in several higher-scoring games this month, and St. Louis’ lineup is healthy enough to take advantage of pitching mistakes. All signs point toward this contest leaning away from a duel and more toward a total that clears the posted number, making the Over the sharper prediction.
From a betting perspective, the case for runs is supported by both recent trends and matchup dynamics. Neither rotation arm has consistently kept opponents in check since the break, and with bullpens stretched thin, late scoring swings are very much in play. The pick here is the Over, trusting that a mix of warm weather, tired relief staffs, and inconsistent starting pitching will drive the tally past eight.
This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 25/08/2025 at 9:30am
St. Louis has shown a tendency to turn wins into multi-run results, and with Pittsburgh’s offense struggling to generate production, the matchup leans toward another spot where the Cardinals can create separation. Their bullpen is in good shape, anchored by a reliable late-game option, which reduces the chance of a narrow escape if they take a lead. While Keller’s ability to work deep introduces some risk, the combination of healthier bats and steadier relief gives St. Louis the sharper prediction to cover the run line.
From a betting perspective, the play isn’t without volatility, but the Cardinals’ recent track record and Pittsburgh’s lack of scoring punch strengthen the case for backing them by margin. With playoff urgency adding weight to every result, St. Louis has incentive to press late rather than coast. The pick here is Cardinals –1.5, recognizing the juice is steeper but the profile still favors a two-run cushion.
This prediction gets a C grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 25/08/2025 at 9:32am
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