Pirates vs Mets

New York enters this series having taken the series with the Cubs, backed by a healthier roster and a significant advantage on the mound. The return of some arms strengthens an already improving rotation, while the bullpen has quietly become one of the most reliable in the league over the past week. Pittsburgh, by contrast, has struggled across the board—dropping eight of their last ten and dealing with continued uncertainty in the bullpen.

With their opponent striking out at one of the highest rates in baseball and still trying to find late-inning stability, the Mets have the tools to control both ends of this game. The modest juice is justified given the trends and the current form.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/05/2025 09:43.

The Mets come into this one riding a series win vs the Cubs and looking locked in at the plate, while the Pirates limp in on a poor run of form with bullpen issues compounding their struggles. With New York likely turning to a now-healthy lefty and Pittsburgh sending out a hard-throwing but still raw starter on the road, both lineups should find chances to cash in. The edge in late-inning reliability also favours the home team, as Pittsburgh continues to navigate injuries in its bullpen while New York just got key reinforcements back.

Run-scoring conditions look favourable, with a confident home lineup, an erratic visiting bullpen, and enough volatility on the mound to keep traffic on the bases. The total feels low under these circumstances, making the over the preferred angle.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/05/2025 09:43

New York enters this matchup playing .500 ball, while Pittsburgh continues to spiral with just two wins in their last ten and a widening gap in both form and record. The Mets come in healthier and more complete where it matters, whereas the Pirates are dealing with key absences that thin out both their lineup and bullpen. On the mound, the home side holds a clear edge with a starter who’s dominated this matchup before, while the visiting arm has cooled off from his incredible rookie season.

With late-game advantages also favoring the Mets, particularly given their rested bullpen and the Pirates’ limited depth, backing the home team to cover the run line holds strong value. The odds suggest a larger gap than the number implies, making the -1.5 a sharp play.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/05/2025 09:44