Pirates vs Twins
North meets Steel: can the home nine stave off an upset?

Pirates (38-56) VS Twins (45-48)
07/12/2025 | 2:10 PM ET | Target Field, Minneapolis


Minnesota enters this matchup on a quiet upswing, buoyed by a reliable bullpen and improved offensive consistency. Even with one key bat sidelined, the Twins’ lineup profiles better against a young arm than Pittsburgh’s offense does against a proven veteran who has previously shut them down. The Pirates’ recent struggles—particularly in late-game scenarios—highlight their vulnerability, especially with their bullpen worn down and a lack of veteran leadership available to stabilize high-leverage innings. The contrast in overall depth and execution trends clearly favors the home side.
The Twins remain in striking distance of a playoff spot, and that urgency is likely to influence in-game decisions like defensive subs and aggressive bullpen moves. In contrast, Pittsburgh’s slipping postseason hopes could limit their margin for error and tactical boldness. Despite some cold stretches from Minnesota’s bats this season, their current momentum and matchup advantages make them a logical lean at a fair price point. Just don’t expect a blowout—this play is more about reliability than explosiveness.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 12/07/2025 at 9:51am
Minnesota welcomes a slumping Pittsburgh squad into town, and the matchup leans toward offensive fireworks. The Pirates’ pitching depth is strained, and with a young starter on short rest backed by a bullpen that’s struggled on the road, run prevention looks like an uphill climb. Minnesota hasn’t been airtight either, with their starter prone to giving up the long ball and recent bullpen overuse compounding the issue. While neither lineup is completely healthy, both still feature enough power and opportunistic bats to capitalize on mismatches throughout the game.
As both teams push through the season’s second half, every series has playoff implications. For the Twins, that urgency should keep their regulars dialed in at the plate and their manager pushing for insurance late. Combine hot July conditions with a pair of taxed relief corps, and even average offensive execution could balloon the scoreboard. All signs point to a high-scoring contest, making the total the most appealing angle here.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 12/07/2025 at 9:52am
Minnesota enters this afternoon matchup with some positive momentum, while Pittsburgh continues to slide. The Pirates have struggled to score since the break and remain without a key bat, leaving their offense especially thin against a starter who has historically kept them in check. On the mound, Pittsburgh faces a less favorable setup, with a taxed bullpen and a starter whose prior visits to this ballpark have been bumpy. Minnesota’s arms are in better shape, and their lineup benefits from timely reinforcements and recent production at home.
With both teams into the second half of the season and postseason math beginning to matter, the Twins’ urgency should translate to sharper execution and more aggressive managing. Their ability to cover the spread in home wins and Pittsburgh’s recent struggles to keep games close make the run-line a realistic bet. While the price doesn’t come cheap, the underlying trends still tilt the value toward the home side.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 12/07/2025 at 9:53am
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