Pirates vs Cubs

Chicago comes into this divisional matchup with a clear edge on the mound and in overall form, supported by a rotation that has consistently handled Pittsburgh’s lineup. The Cubs’ offense has been effective against this opponent all season, and their ability to build run support gives them a comfortable cushion when paired with reliable pitching. On the other side, Pittsburgh’s bullpen has been one of the league’s weakest groups, and the recent loss of its closer only magnifies late-inning concerns. With Chicago holding both statistical and motivational advantages, the matchup tilts heavily toward the division leaders.

From a betting perspective, the Cubs remain the sharper pick even with a steeper price. Their dominance in the season series, coupled with Pittsburgh’s inability to close games, points toward a result that aligns with recent trends. While the moneyline doesn’t offer major value, the profile is strong enough to justify backing Chicago as the more trustworthy side. This prediction leans clearly in their favor.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 17/08/2025 at 9:20am

The setup at Wrigley Field points toward offense carrying the day, with wind conditions favoring hitters and both bullpens entering taxed after extended work. Chicago has been one of the league’s better home offenses, and facing a vulnerable spot starter gives them a chance to put pressure on Pittsburgh’s middle relief early. The Pirates should still find ways to scratch across some runs against a tough matchup, as their top bats have produced enough to avoid being completely shut down. Taken together, the ingredients lean toward a higher-scoring game.

From a betting standpoint, the over looks like the sharper pick. Chicago’s ability to pile on runs at home, paired with bullpens that may not have much left in the tank, creates a scenario where crooked numbers can surface in multiple innings. Even if Pittsburgh’s contribution is modest, the Cubs’ offensive profile makes this prediction favor the total being cleared.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 17/08/2025 at 9:22am

Chicago holds clear advantages in this matchup, with reliable starting pitching and an offense that has consistently produced against Pittsburgh throughout the season. The Cubs’ ability to work deep into games reduces bullpen exposure, which further strengthens their case at home. On the other side, the Pirates continue to struggle offensively and remain thin both in the lineup and in late relief, leaving them vulnerable to falling behind early and failing to recover. The statistical edge in head-to-head meetings reinforces Chicago’s position as the side more likely to control the game.

From a betting standpoint, the run line carries appeal even with less favorable pricing. The Cubs have repeatedly converted wins into multi-run results against this opponent, and Wrigley Field has been a strong backdrop for that success. While the juice keeps the value from being elite, this prediction leans toward Chicago covering again as the sharper pick.

This prediction gets a C+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 17/08/2025 at 9:24am