Pirates vs Cubs

Chicago enters this matchup with momentum, backed by a frontline starter who has excelled at Wrigley Field and a lineup that has consistently handled right-handed pitching. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, continues to struggle both with results and roster health, leaving their offense thin against quality arms. Even if their top prospect takes the mound, the Cubs’ offensive depth and home-field edge make them the stronger side, giving this pick clear support despite a hefty moneyline.

From a betting perspective, the case rests on Chicago’s blend of reliable pitching and an offense that can pressure opposing staffs early. Pittsburgh’s recent skid and inability to generate consistent production tilt the matchup further toward the home side. While the price is steep, the disparity in team form and lineup capability justifies the lean, particularly with the Cubs chasing postseason positioning.

This prediction gets a A- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 16/08/2025 at 9:00am

Even with quality arms lined up, the conditions at Wrigley Field point toward offense taking center stage. A strong wind blowing out to left creates a clear boost for power hitters, and with both bullpens stretched thin from heavy usage earlier in the series, late scoring opportunities should be plentiful. Chicago’s offense has been productive at home all year, while Pittsburgh has key bats capable of taking advantage of the hitting environment, making the Over a logical pick.

From a betting perspective, the combination of hitter-friendly weather, fatigued relief corps, and two lineups with enough pop to capitalize suggests the total is vulnerable. Chicago’s ability to put runs on the board at Wrigley and Pittsburgh’s potential to chip in against a taxed bullpen push this matchup toward a higher-scoring outcome. With double-digit runs well within reach, the Over fits both the setting and the statistical backdrop.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 16/08/2025 at 9:02am

Chicago’s recent ability to pair efficient pitching with elite defense has translated into multi-run victories, making the run line an appealing angle here. Their bullpen has stabilized in recent weeks, giving them the tools to protect and extend leads, while Pittsburgh has struggled to stay competitive as a sizable underdog. With a large share of their post-break losses coming by multiple runs, the setup favors the Cubs to cover again in this pick.

From a betting perspective, the value lies in the combination of defensive excellence, bullpen reliability, and opponent vulnerability. Chicago has consistently converted wins into comfortable margins, while Pittsburgh’s track record in this price range underscores their inability to hang close against stronger clubs. For bettors seeking a higher return than the moneyline offers, the run line provides a logical and trend-supported path.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 16/08/2025 at 9:04am