MLB

Phillies vs Rays

Quaker City arms overpower Sunshine sluggers in an interstate sizzle

Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies (19-15) VS Rays (16-18)

05/07/2025 | 7:05 PM ET | George M. Steinbrenner Field

Tampa Bay Rays
Moneyline Pick - Philadelphia Phillies (-130): B

Philadelphia brings a 7-3 run in their last ten against a Tampa Bay club that has dropped three of its last five and remains without key pieces on both sides of the ball. Even with some lineup uncertainty for the visitors, their deeper bullpen and strong numbers against right-handed pitching provide a solid foundation. Tampa Bay continues to struggle for consistency at the plate, and the matchup on the mound doesn’t offer much relief against a well-rounded opponent.

Given the trends, health, and performance gaps, the modest favorite tag on Philadelphia holds up well. It’s a reliable play in a matchup where momentum, depth, and matchup history all lean one way.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/05/2025 09:48

Over/Under Pick - Over 8, (-110): B

Philadelphia enters this one with a lineup finding ways to stay productive despite key absences, while Tampa Bay’s offense has shown some signs of life with some solid showings recently. Both clubs are showing signs of heating up at the plate, and with starters who’ve been prone to home runs and bullpens taxed from recent extra-inning battles, the setup favors late scoring. The ballpark plays fair, but light wind conditions and tired arms suggest more offensive windows than usual.

With neither team fully settled and both rotations in patchwork mode, the chance for this game to sneak past the total of nine looks strong. The Over holds solid value in a matchup trending toward more fireworks than finesse.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/05/2025 09:48

Spread Pick - Tampa Bay Rays, +1.5 (-155): B-

Tampa Bay enters with a bit of momentum winning two of their last three, while Philadelphia looks to keep chasing down the Mets in 1st and battles through a few lineup absences. With the visitors sending out a familiar face on the mound who’s had strong showings in this matchup, and the bullpen trending upward in efficiency, the structure is there for a tightly contested game. Philadelphia still has its core contributors, but recent offensive setbacks and a starter with shaky command open the door for late-inning pressure.

Rather than banking on an outright upset, taking the run-and-a-half offers a safer lane in a game that feels like it’ll stay close throughout. There’s solid structure behind the play, even if the ceiling is limited.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/05/2025 09:49

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