Phillies vs Mets

Philadelphia heads into Queens with a drop in momentum but a clear edge on the mound, with their starters historically dominant at Citi Field. The Mets may be on an upswing, but they’re still missing key pieces and relying heavily on an overworked bullpen. That contrast is especially stark when you factor in the visitors’ defensive sharpness and a roster that’s largely intact and trending upward.

Given all that, laying a bit of juice on the road favorite makes plenty of sense here. When you’ve got the more rested arms, cleaner defense, and a starter who owns the building, you take that bet. Grade: B+.

Philadelphia comes in with a bit of a stumble dropping their last two game, while New York looks to keep the good times rolling. Both clubs are navigating some injury concerns, but the pitching matchup tilts toward a low-scoring affair, especially with the visiting arm boasting excellent career numbers in this ballpark. Add in the cool weather and rested bullpens on both sides, and the offensive ceiling doesn’t look particularly high.

Honestly, this feels like one of those classic early-season grinders—good pitching, cooler temps, and neither lineup at full throttle. With the total sitting at eight, the under holds up nicely as a solid value play at standard odds.

Philadelphia comes in tepid having dropped their last two game but still looking strong, and their starter's continued dominance over New York adds weight to the edge. The Mets, still dealing with rotation holes and bullpen instability, have struggled when their current fill-in has taken the mound. While the Phillies may be missing some speed, their power options are intact and bolstered by timely returns to the lineup.

All told, with the wind favoring lefty power and the Mets still patching together key innings, this feels like a spot where Philly clears the run line comfortably. There’s enough muscle and matchup leverage here to back the visitors by more than a run with confidence.