MLB

Phillies vs Guardians

Brotherly bats ride to Lake Erie, looking to clip the Guards

Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies (22-15) VS Guardians (22-15)

May 10, 2025 | 6:10 p.m. ET | Progressive Field, Cleveland

Cleveland Guardians
Moneyline Pick - Philadelphia Phillies (-125): B

Philadelphia enters this matchup riding a 7-3 run in their last ten and holding clear advantages on the mound and in recent form. Cleveland, despite dealing with key pitching injuries and a fatigued rotation, has won three straight but continues to struggle offensively against left-handed pitching. The Phillies send out a starter with a fine track record against this lineup and back him with a bullpen that's among the league's most efficient this month.

Even without a few regulars, Philadelphia’s depth and momentum give them the upper hand, especially late in games where Cleveland’s relief crew has been shaky. The price isn’t steep, but the edge is meaningful—this one earns a B grade for a short favorite with solid control of the matchup.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/05/2025 09:43.  

Over/Under Pick - Under 8, (-110): B

Philadelphia enters this one on a good run of form, with their bats producing six runs per game in their last ten, however they did put up a goose egg in the first game of this series. This time, they face a stiffer test against a starter who has historically excelled in this matchup, while still missing key lineup pieces and managing several players back to full form. Cleveland has won three straight and continues to generate offense through contact and baserunning rather than power, with long balls remaining scarce.

With both bullpens currently ranked among the league’s best and the starting pitchers matching up well against these lineups, this game shapes up as a low-scoring battle. The total of eight feels high considering the personnel and recent trends, making the under a smart value angle in a matchup that likely stays tight from first pitch to final out.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/05/2025 09:43.

Spread Pick - Cleveland Guardians, +1.5 (-160): B

Cleveland may be coming in with a good win streak going, Philadelphia’s current form carries some uncertainty with key injuries thinning their depth. With their scheduled starter having been hit around in his last outing, the Phillies could need to piece together innings from the bullpen, a tough ask on the road. Cleveland, meanwhile, counters with a top-tier bullpen and a starting staff that has consistently kept this matchup in check.

Given the limitations on Philadelphia’s side and the strength of Cleveland’s arms, taking the home team with a run cushion looks like a strong value play. It's still early in the season, and with both teams hovering near even records, the edge leans toward the more stable pitching setup.

 Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/05/2025 09:44

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