Ottawa vs Toronto

Toronto takes the ice riding a five-game win streak, energized by a dominant top line and a dressing room full of confidence. Ottawa, on the other hand, has struggled for consistency, winning just three of its last seven and continuing to battle through key defensive absences. Toronto’s blue line has adjusted well despite long-term injuries, and their netminder has posted strong numbers against Ottawa this season.

With playoff positioning still in play and home-ice advantage on the line, the motivation is clear for the Leafs. They’ve handled this matchup well all year, and their current form suggests that trend should continue. At -160, the price reflects both momentum and matchup edge. This one grades out as a B pick—solid value with dependable upside.

Toronto enters The Battle of Ontario as the hottest team coming into the playoffs, while Ottawa continues to struggle in recent outings. Both squads feature high-performing power-play units that rank among the league’s best, and with playoff positioning still a factor, expect an up-tempo style. Goaltending on both ends has been inconsistent, with elevated goals-against averages suggesting this game could easily open up. Neither team is likely to pack it in defensively if they secure a late lead, making for a compelling case that this contest sees more than its fair share of scoring.

Honestly, with everything on the line and both teams loving to push the pace, it’s hard not to like the Over 5.5 here, especially at just -115. This has all the makings of a back-and-forth barnburner, so an A- grade feels about right.

Toronto comes into this series riding a five-game winning streak and carrying plenty of offensive momentum, while the Senators come in having looked great, but their lineup is missing key contributors at forward and on the blue line. That spells trouble against a Leafs team known for its depth and relentless forecheck. With Toronto’s power play ranked near the top of the league and Ottawa’s recent goaltending showing signs of wear, the edge leans heavily toward the visitors—especially with playoff stakes ramping up and the Sens desperate enough to pull their netminder early.

This one feels like a solid shot at the puckline cover. Toronto is in rhythm, Ottawa’s back end is thin, and at +170, the -1.5 carries enough value to warrant a B grade—not a slam dunk, but definitely worth a swing for those eyeing a bigger payoff.