NBA

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers

Hot hands and home court make Indy the safer wager

Orlando Magic

Orlando Magic (40-40) VS Indiana Pacers (48-31)

Apr 11, 2025 | 7:00 PM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Indiana Pacers
Moneyline Pick: Indiana Pacers (-320) - Grade: B
Tyrese Haliburton and the surging Pacers have been electric down the stretch, riding a five-game win streak into their penultimate matchup of the regular season. The Magic, while impressive during their own four-game winning run, face a much stiffer challenge away from home, especially at Gainbridge Fieldhouse where Indiana holds one of the better home records in the Eastern Conference. Both squads are mostly healthy, but the continued absence of Jonathan Isaac for Orlando limits their defensive flexibility against the versatile Indiana frontcourt. Historically, Haliburton has feasted on the Magic’s backcourt, averaging 20+ points and double-digit assists across recent meetings, and with Myles Turner anchoring the paint, the Pacers should have the edge in rim protection. With playoff seeding at stake—Indiana trying to secure a top-5 finish and the Magic clinging to a spot in the play-in—it’s hard to see the Blue and Gold letting up at this stage. We like the Pacers to take care of business at home, though at -320, the value is limited, thus meriting a B grade overall. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/04/2025 06:39
Over/Under Pick: Over 218.5, (-110) - Grade: B

Coming off a strong four-game winning run, Paolo Banchero and the surging Magic now face their toughest challenge yet against the red-hot and balanced Indiana Pacers, who are riding a five-game heater of their own. Orlando will miss key backcourt contributor Franz Wagner due to a persistent knee issue, putting additional pressure on rookie Anthony Black to deal with Indiana’s turbo-charged offense led by Tyrese Haliburton, who posted 23 assists combined in his last two games against the Magic. With key players on both teams healthy—save for Fultz—this game carries real playoff seeding implications: the Pacers still fighting for a top-four finish in the East, and the Magic looking to avoid the Play-In. Expect a fast pace: Indiana ranks top-five in possessions per game, and Orlando has recently increased their scoring output, surpassing 115 points in each of their last four. While oddsmakers have pegged this total smartly, the trajectory of both teams' offenses suggests the Over is the smarter play. This bet earns a solid B for high-scoring trends, although nothing is guaranteed with playoff tensions possibly tightening defenses late. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/04/2025 06:39

Spread Pick: Orlando Magic, +7.5 (-110) - Grade: B

Paolo Banchero and the Magic have quietly built a four-game win streak heading into Friday night's clash with the Pacers, and while Indiana boasts five straight of their own, they've been less dominant against the spread in that span. The Pacers are humming offensively, led by TObi Toppin's playmaking, but with Pascal Siakam sidelined due to a shoulder injury and Tyrese Haliburton nursing a recurring back issue, their depth could be tested late in the season. On the flip side, Orlando is nearly at full strength and continues to thrive defensively, allowing just 101.5 points per game over their last four wins. Both clubs are firmly in the playoff mix – Indy clinging to seeding in the top six while the Magic are scrapping to escape the Play-In – adding intensity to what should be a tightly contested Eastern showdown. Orlando split the season series with the Pacers and held Haliburton in check in their last matchup. While the Pacers may ultimately pull out the win at home, 7.5 points feels generous for a Magic squad playing desperate and cohesive basketball. This cover has decent value and likelihood, thus a solid B. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/04/2025 06:39

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