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Moneyline Pick: SMU (-480) - B+
SMU enters this contest riding a tidy two-game winning streak, while Oklahoma State has stumbled through its last three outings and looks desperate for a spark. With a key C sidelined by a lingering knee issue on the Cowboys’ side, the Mustangs benefit from a healthier rotation, despite their own LW nursing a minor shoulder sprain. Oklahoma State’s top guard historically delivers impact performances against SMU’s defense, often lighting up the scoreboard, but the Mustangs’ collective momentum and deeper bench could prove decisive. Both teams have played well over 41 games this season, raising the stakes for any postseason push heading into this matchup. While the odds may not yield a massive payout, SMU’s near-complete roster and recent momentum justify backing them to emerge victorious.
Over/Under Pick: Over 157.5, (+110) - B+
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Oklahoma State’s fiery point guard will look to snap the Cowboys’ three-game losing streak, but they’ll be shorthanded if their starting forward remains sidelined by a nagging shoulder injury. Meanwhile, SMU comes in on a steady two-game winning run, though the Mustangs’ primary rebounder is questionable with a knee issue. Crucial to this matchup is SMU’s standout shooter, who has consistently torched the Cowboys in recent showdowns, putting immense pressure on Oklahoma State’s perimeter defense. Despite the mixed results tied to the Cowboys’ 7-13-16-17 record and the Mustangs’ 13-7-24-10 mark, the offensive firepower on both ends points to a game that should surpass 157.5 total points. This wager grades at a B+ for its strong likelihood of cashing with a rewarding payout.
Spread Pick: SMU, -9.5 (-110) - B+
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SMU’s explosive frontcourt enters on a notable three-game winning streak [Performance Records], while Oklahoma State aims to break a recent skid that has dampened team morale [Team Trends]. The Cowboys are further hampered by a lingering ankle issue for one of their top rebounders, limiting their defensive presence in the paint [Injury Update]. Historically, SMU has enjoyed solid success when hosting Big 12 competition, capitalizing on their fast-paced offense and shutting down perimeter threats. With supportive home-court energy and better recent form, SMU looks poised to cover the -9.5 spread against the Cowboys. Though no bet is ever a lock, this prediction is graded a B+ for both its strong likelihood to hit and the rewarding payout it could deliver.
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