NBA

Thunder vs Pacers

Storm surge meets Circle City resistance—only one keeps rolling.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Thunder (68-14) VS Pacers (50-32)

Jun 11, 2025 | 8:30 PM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis

Indiana Pacers
Moneyline Pick - Oklahoma City Thunder (-196): B

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter Game 3 of the NBA Finals with momentum, having tied the series 1-1 after a commanding Game 2 victory. Their defensive prowess, highlighted by a league-best playoff defensive rating of 107.4, has effectively disrupted Indiana's offensive rhythm. The Thunder's balanced scoring and disciplined play have been instrumental in capitalizing on the Pacers' turnovers, which have been a recurring issue for Indiana throughout the series. With the Pacers dealing with roster limitations and facing a formidable opponent, the Thunder are well-positioned to take the first game in Indiana.

Looking at the matchup, Oklahoma City's recent performance showcases their ability to adapt and control the game's tempo. Their consistent defensive pressure has limited Indiana's key playmakers, forcing the Pacers to rely on less experienced contributors. Given these factors, backing the Thunder to cover the spread appears to be a sound betting strategy for Game 3.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/06/2025 09:20

Over/Under Pick - Under 228.5, (-110): B

The Thunder bring a good run of form into the NBA Finals clash against the Pacers, leaning on the league’s best defensive rating to counter Indiana’s speed. While Oklahoma City arrives slightly banged up, with two high-usage wings either sidelined or limited, the Pacers counter with a full-strength frontcourt and a burst of energy from their Game 2 effort. What makes this matchup intriguing is the stylistic contrast—OKC’s half-court execution against Indiana’s pace—and how that friction influences the scoring environment. The current total sits at 228.5, which feels lofty considering how physical and detail-oriented these Finals games have been.

At this stage, rotations are tight, scouting is thorough, and every possession matters more. With both teams scheming to minimize mismatches and slow transition opportunities, the tempo could stall more than the number suggests. If this one follows the typical Finals pattern—tough contested shots, fewer fast breaks, and late-game clock draining—the under has definite value.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/06/2025 09:20

Spread Pick - Indiana Pacers, +5 (-107): B

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter Game 3 of the NBA Finals with a significant edge over the Indiana Pacers. Despite missing a key contributor due to injury, the Thunder's depth and defensive prowess have been evident throughout the playoffs. The Pacers, while benefiting from the return of their starting Center, face challenges with their star guard playing through a lower leg issue. With both teams having secured their playoff positions, Indiana's strong home record of 31-10 could play a pivotal role in this matchup. The current betting line favors Oklahoma City by 5.5 points, but given the circumstances, taking Indiana with the points offers a balanced risk-reward proposition.

Looking at the dynamics, Oklahoma City's consistent performance and Indiana's resilience at home set the stage for a competitive game. While the Thunder have been dominant, the Pacers' ability to capitalize on their home-court advantage shouldn't be underestimated. Considering the spread, backing Indiana to cover seems like a reasonable bet for those seeking value in this Finals matchup.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/06/2025 09:20

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