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Moneyline Pick: Toledo (105) - B+
Ohio’s leading center has been battling a nagging knee issue that has disrupted the Bobcats’ paint presence, and their ongoing two-game slide underscores the impact of his limited minutes. Meanwhile, Toledo is riding a three-game surge with minimal injury concerns to its rotation, allowing its standout guard to consistently light up the scoreboard as he has done in previous outings against Ohio. Despite both squads having similar overall records, the Rockets’ combination of momentum, healthier personnel, and a proven offensive spark could tip the balance in this contest.
Over/Under Pick: Over 159.5, (-110) – B+
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Ohio’s leading scorer comes into this matchup looking to snap his team’s two-game skid by attacking the rim relentlessly, while Toledo recently ended a three-game losing streak and aims to keep thriving from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, an ankle injury to Ohio’s starting point guard could limit their perimeter defense, and Toledo’s power forward has been nursing a sore shoulder for a week, leaving question marks on both ends of the floor. Historically, Toledo’s sharpshooting guard has notched dominant performances in this rivalry, averaging nearly 20 points against Ohio. Expect both squads to push the tempo and test each other’s defensive depth, making the Over 159.5 an enticing wager with a strong chance to cash in.
Spread Pick: Ohio, -1.5 (-110) – B
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Dwight Wilson III, a consistent finisher for Ohio, will look to extend his squad’s momentum after two straight wins, while Toledo aims to snap a short skid. The Rockets might miss their starting forward, who remains questionable with a lingering ankle concern. Historically, the Bobcats have thrived on the road in pivotal late-season conference matchups, giving them confidence for this showdown. Taking Ohio at -1.5 should net a decent payout at -110, with a respectable chance of success. Tagline: The Bobcats sharpen their claws in a classic MAC battle.
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