MLB

Yankees vs Blue Jays

North of the border, the hot sticks keep humming.

New York Yankees

Yankees (55-44) VS Blue Jays (58-41)

22 Jul 2025 | 7:07 PM ET | Rogers Centre, Toronto

Toronto Blue Jays
Moneyline Pick - Toronto Blue Jays (-130): Grade B

Toronto enters this divisional showdown in strong form, buoyed by recent wins and a bullpen that’s been lights out over the past week. While New York looks to regroup after a tough stretch, the absence of key offensive pieces narrows their margin for error—especially against a Blue Jays club that has thrived in close games. With both teams deep into the season and postseason implications growing by the day, every plate appearance and pitching change takes on added weight. Toronto’s lineup has historically matched up well in this spot, and they benefit from playing at home with recent confidence behind them.

The pick is Toronto on the moneyline, a prediction backed by current momentum, better recent execution in tight games, and a more complete lineup given the Yankees’ injury concerns. While the presence of a top-tier starter for New York keeps this bet from being a runaway, the edge lies with the home team maintaining form and making the most of situational hitting. This shapes up to be a hard-fought contest, but the Blue Jays’ balance gives them the slight betting advantage.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 22/07/2025 at 10:16am

Over/Under Pick - Over 9, (-110): B

Toronto and New York meet with contrasting energy levels, as the Blue Jays surge into this contest while the Yankees look to snap out of a recent funk. With both teams deep into the season and firmly entrenched in the playoff race, urgency should be evident from the first pitch. The pitching outlook is uncertain, as neither club sends out its top arms, and recent bullpen usage suggests potential cracks in the later innings. With both offenses featuring high-impact bats and a history of success in this matchup, the game sets up for a night where offense takes center stage.

The pick is the over on the total, a prediction driven by lineup depth and bullpen concerns on both sides. The bet leans on the expectation that each team will push early and often, with situational hitting likely to decide the final margin. Given recent scoring trends and the absence of key late-inning relievers, this feels like the type of game where nine runs may not hold up. Look for run-scoring opportunities from both sides to surface throughout.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 22/07/2025 at 10:18am

Spread Pick - New York Yankees, +1.5 (-190): B

New York heads into this critical AL clash looking to stabilize after a rocky stretch, and they'll do so with a more complete bullpen and one of their most trusted starters on the mound. While their offense is slightly thinned, they still carry enough presence at the plate to test a Toronto squad missing key contributors. The Blue Jays, though riding a recent upswing, remain vulnerable in the late innings, with bullpen missteps continuing to crop up despite strong starting pitching. With both clubs beyond the 81-game mark and tightly packed in the Wild Card race, every edge—no matter how small—feels magnified under the dome at Rogers Centre.

The pick here is Yankees +1.5, a prediction grounded in bullpen stability, favorable matchup history, and playoff positioning. The bet reflects confidence in New York's ability to keep things close even on the road, particularly with recent form suggesting Toronto’s relief crew could struggle to lock things down. While taking the extra run comes with less value than a straight moneyline, the added cushion is worth it in what shapes up to be a closely fought contest with postseason implications.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 22/07/2025 at 10:20am

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