MLB

Mets vs Phillies

Brothers in the East, rivals under the Friday night lights.

New York Mets

Mets (45-30) VS Phillies (45-30)

21 Jun 2025 | 7:15 p.m. ET | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Philadelphia Phillies
Moneyline Pick – Philadelphia Phillies (-120): A-

Philadelphia enters this NL East matchup riding a three-game win streak, while New York arrives with a seven game losing streak that exposed the bullpen’s ongoing volatility. With over 11 blown saves already and limited late-inning reliability due to workload concerns, the Mets face added pressure in a game with growing divisional weight as both teams have creep closer to the season’s midpoint. The Phillies counter with a rested bullpen and a starter who has consistently dominated his former club, especially in home starts.

New York’s offence has struggled this month against right-handed pitching, and recent injuries have shortened the bench just as matchups intensify. Even with some pieces still returning to form, Philadelphia’s top of the order has had prior success in this matchup and benefits from a hitter-friendly park that amplifies scoring chances. The small price on the home favourite reflects their edge in form, rotation, and bullpen structure.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/06/2025 09:48.

Over/Under Pick - Over 9.5, (+105): A-

New York enters on a seven-game skid, while Philadelphia returns home after three straight wins and continues to play shorthanded without key contributors on both sides of the ball. The Phillies send out a starter with elite season-long numbers, but one who’s been repeatedly tagged by this Mets lineup in recent matchups. On the other side, New York still lacks its top late-inning arm, which could be costly against a Phillies offence that tends to wake up at home.

With both teams neck-and-neck in the Wild Card race and approach the halfway point of the season, every inning now demands playoff-like urgency. Yet both bullpens have shown signs of fatigue, combining for a 4.63 ERA in June, which raises the likelihood of mid-to-late inning damage. The hitting conditions, recent bullpen trends, and the familiarity between starters and hitters all point toward a game that could crack the total early.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/06/2025 09:48

Spread Pick - New York Mets, -1.5 (-139): B+

New York rolls into Philadelphia on a bad run of form but carries an offence that can get hot in a hurry into a pivotal divisional matchup between two clubs deadlocked at the top of the NL East standings. Philadelphia, coming off three straight wins, are still without key contributors at the top of the lineup and in the bullpen, absences that loom large against a Mets lineup that can swing games quickly. The visitors send out a starter who has put up pretty good numbers this season, while Philadelphia counters with a rookie arm that has yet to face the Mets in his career.

Both teams are reaching the season’s midpoint, and every game carries playoff implications. The Mets’ bullpen is back at full strength and well-positioned to protect a late lead, especially with the offence clicking in this ballpark. With the run-line offering solid value at manageable juice, backing the visitors to cover makes sense given the current form and matchup edge.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/06/2025 09:49

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