MLB

Mets vs Yankees

Crosstown sparks fly, one ace tips the scales.

New York Mets

Mets (28-17) VS Yankees (26-18)

May 18, 2025 | 7:00 PM ET | Yankee Stadium, Bronx

New York Yankees
Moneyline Pick - New York Yankees (-170): B

The Yankees come into the rubber match of this rivalry series riding a tough loss and welcome back their ace at full strength, reinforcing a rotation that’s already delivered at home. The Mets may have won three of their last five, but they remain without key bullpen depth and enter this matchup with their top power threat in a prolonged slump against this pitching staff. Add to that a lopsided historical edge in individual matchups and the Yankees’ overall roster health, and the balance clearly tips toward the home side.

While the odds are steeper than one may like, the combination of current form, rotation advantage, and late-inning stability makes backing the Yankees a solid play. It’s not a bargain, but the probability is strong enough to grade this moneyline as a dependable option.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/05/2025 09:49

Over/Under Pick - Over 8.5 (-115): B

With both teams entering this matchup swinging well—one on a 7-3 run in their last ten, the other still packing serious punch despite some slightly worse form—the stage is set for fireworks. Injuries to key arms on both sides mean the bullpens will likely be tested early, which only boosts the outlook for offense given the power each lineup brings. Neither team is at full strength on the mound, but both feature home run threats throughout the order, making this a setup where run production could come quickly and often.

Even with cooler weather in play, the offensive potential here outweighs the pitching concerns. Backing the over feels like the smart move, especially with both clubs eager to make a statement in a high-profile setting. Solid value play for those chasing action on the scoreboard.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/05/2025 09:49

Spread Pick - New York Mets, +1.5 (-140): A-

The Mets roll into this crosstown clash riding some decent form in their last five games, while the Yankees have struggled to string more than three wins together for a while and continue to navigate key absences in both their rotation and lineup. With their ace and left-handed power still sidelined, the Yankees' margin for error shrinks, particularly against a Mets team getting strong recent bullpen production and timely offense. The visitors have shown a knack for keeping games close, dropping only one contest by multiple runs in their last dozen.

Given the current form, bullpen edge, and the ability to hang around in tight matchups, grabbing the +1.5 run line offers strong value. It’s a smart blend of upside and insurance, making this an A- grade play for bettors looking for a solid combination of probability and price.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/05/2025 09:50

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