MLB

Mets vs Royals

Streaking bats chase Ragans as Queens eyes Midwest loot

New York Mets

Mets (53-39) VS Royals (46-48)

07/11/2025 | 8:10 PM ET | Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Kansas City Royals
Moneyline Pick - New York Mets (-140): B

New York enters with momentum after a four-game run, buoyed by a resurgent starting rotation and improved bullpen stability. Kansas City, on the other hand, continues to search for consistency as their offense adjusts without key contributors. Despite showing flashes earlier in the season, the Royals have seen their lineup production dip, and their recent skid makes facing a Mets team trending upward a tough ask. New York’s pitching has found rhythm at the right time, and that balance across arms and bats supports their positioning near the heart of the Wild Card conversation.

For bettors, this matchup leans toward the value side even with a slightly chalky price. The Mets offer the steadier hand in both starting pitching and late-game relief, which matters more than usual with both teams already beyond the halfway point of the season. New York’s stronger recent form and healthier roster point toward a favorable outcome, making them a worthwhile pick in a matchup they should manage from start to finish.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/07/2025 at 10:05am

Over/Under Pick - Under 9.5, (-120): B

New York heads to Kansas City riding a wave of improved play, pairing two strong right-handers in a planned tandem start to maintain their recent momentum. The Royals, meanwhile, return home after a rough road swing and are still trying to stabilize an offense that’s missing key power. Both teams face lineup limitations, which could prove decisive in a series where every run counts. The pitching edge leans slightly toward the Mets, but the more compelling factor is the way both bullpens have been used cautiously, allowing for fresh late-inning arms.

With both clubs now past the halfway point and hovering near Wild Card relevance, this matchup takes on added urgency. Yet instead of offensive fireworks, expect this one to lean on pitching depth, especially with Kansas City's ace in strong home form and New York turning to a mix that suppresses big innings. Between humid summer air and thinned batting orders, a lower total feels like the smarter angle. The bet might not pop on paper, but the setup favors modest scoring throughout.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/07/2025 at 10:06am

Spread Pick - Kansas City Royals, +1.5 (-135): B+

Kansas City welcomes New York for a tightly poised matchup, with both teams battling for position near the Wild Card bubble. The Mets come in after a few tough results and are managing their pitching staff carefully, while the Royals have steadied themselves with some timely hitting and dependable starting arms. The home crowd and favorable pitching matchup could help Kansas City keep things competitive from the first pitch through the final frame.

With the season past its halfway mark, each game carries added importance. Both teams are likely to play it close to the vest, relying on pitching depth and key at-bats late to swing the result. In this kind of spot, grabbing a little insurance on the underdog to keep it close feels like the smarter side. It’s not a blowout call—but in a game that could easily finish within a run, it’s the right kind of bet to make.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/07/2025 at 10:07am

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