MLB

Mets vs Tigers

Big bats, bigger stakes—one September swing could decide it all.

New York Mets

Mets (74-64) VS Tigers (80-59)

Sep 03, 2025 | 1:10 PM ET | Comerica Park, Detroit, MI

Detroit Tigers
Moneyline Pick - Detroit Tigers (100): B

Detroit brings both stability and urgency into this spot, with their ace anchoring the rotation and extending a run of consistency on the mound. Their lineup has found timely production against this opponent’s pitching profile, and with the Mets running thin in the rotation, the matchup tilts toward the home side. Comerica Park often suppresses quick offensive swings, which only heightens the value of a proven starter like Detroit’s to control tempo. With divisional stakes sharper for the Tigers than New York’s wild-card chase, motivation also leans to the hosts.

From a betting perspective, Detroit on the moneyline is the recommended pick. The combination of frontline pitching, lineup matchup advantages, and situational urgency makes the Tigers the sharper side. For bettors, this play carries solid value even against a competitive opponent.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 03/10/2025 at 9:05am

Over/Under Pick - Over 8.5 (-120): B-

This matchup has the makings of a higher-scoring affair, with both bullpens vulnerable and each lineup carrying power upside. Detroit’s late-inning reliability has dipped without a key arm, leaving them exposed if their starter can’t work deep, while New York’s relief group has been equally leaky in limiting base traffic. Add in the recent uptick in hard contact from both sides and weather conditions that aid carry in Comerica, and the ingredients are present for crooked innings on either end. Even if frontline starters hold serve early, the bullpens set the stage for late scoring.

From a betting perspective, the Over 8.5 is the sharper angle. Between shaky relief work, strong hard-hit metrics, and environmental boosts, this game profiles closer to a back-and-forth slugfest than a duel. For bettors, the total carries more upside than leaning on either side alone.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 02/10/2025 at 9:07am

Spread Pick - New York Mets, -1.5 (-143): B-

New York has a path to margin if their rookie starter can provide stability through the middle innings, since Detroit’s bullpen has shown cracks without its key setup arm. The Mets’ top order profiles well against left-handed pitching, giving them a chance to create early pressure and add on once the Tigers are forced into relief. Detroit has struggled to stay close in games where its ace doesn’t work deep, and New York’s urgency in the wild-card chase adds incentive to push for separation. The situational edges make a multi-run result plausible.

From a betting perspective, Mets –1.5 offers value despite the juice. Their lineup’s on-base advantage against lefties, paired with Detroit’s shaky relief depth, sets up well for a cover if the game unfolds as expected. For bettors, this angle aligns with recent run-line trends and New York’s postseason motivation.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 03/10/2025 at 9:09am

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks