Mets vs Red Sox

The Mets have lost their momentum losing three straight for the first time this season, while the Red Sox are looking to keep their small win streak going. Boston has faced challenges at the plate lately and historically hasn’t matched up well against the Mets, particularly when righties are on the mound for the Mets. With New York’s bullpen showing strong recent performance and Boston’s late-game pitching proving to be inconsistent, there’s reason to question the current odds that heavily favour the Red Sox. The Mets also hold an advantage in road run differential, which could be meaningful in a matchup at Fenway.

When you look at how these two teams have been trending, the Mets stand out as an underdog—despite dropping this series already—worth backing, especially with the value being offered. Even with some injuries on both sides, New York’s combination of solid relief pitching and recent offensive momentum could keep this game closer than the odds suggest. This feels like a solid B grade play—reasonable probability with some nice plus-money potential if you’re looking for a value bet.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/05/2025 09:47

Both teams enter this matchup with strong starting pitching and a recent trend toward low-scoring games. The Mets have stumbled a bit with their recent form, but with their starting rotation showing the ability to shut down opposing offenses. Boston, meanwhile, has benefited from impressive home pitching, although their lineup has been affected by a few key absences. Both teams’ bullpens have performed well, ranking among the league’s best in stranding runners, which could limit any late offensive fireworks.

Given the solid pitching on both sides and some notable hitters likely missing, it wouldn’t be surprising to see a tightly contested, low-scoring game that stays under the posted run total. With playoff urgency not yet in full swing, the setup here points toward value in betting on a game featuring seven or fewer runs.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/05/2025 09:47

Boston is coming off an explosive offensive showing that has started a winning streak, and they’re set up well with strong recent pitching to face a Mets team riding a brief uptick but dealing with major bullpen and rotation absences. The Mets turn to a starter who’s struggled on the road, particularly when facing lineups that can exploit Fenway’s unique dimensions. Boston’s order features several left-handed bats who have proven they can capitalize on these kinds of matchups, and the team is also well-positioned to mix and match relievers late if needed.

With Boston’s offense heating up and the Mets shorthanded in key pitching roles, there’s a strong case for backing the home team to cover the run line. The probability feels favorable, and the value is there even if you have to lay a little juice. If you’re looking for a spot to ride the momentum of a resurgent offense and take advantage of a depleted opponent, this is one to consider.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 21/05/2025 09:48