MLB

Mets vs Diamondbacks

Desert duel tilts toward the visitors and their rested ace.

New York Mets

Mets (23-13) VS Diamondbacks (18-17)

05/07/2025 | 3:40 PM ET | Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Arizona Diamondbacks
Moneyline Pick - New York Mets (-125): A-

The Mets roll into this one riding a slight town turn in form but still in a great position and armed with a veteran ace who’s been historically dominant at Chase Field. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are reeling from some poor form as of late and missing key pieces in both their rotation and bullpen. New York holds advantages across the board, from the starting matchup to recent bullpen workload, with their arms staying fresher thanks to back-to-back solid outings earlier this week. The offensive edge also leans toward the visitors, who have consistently hit Arizona’s replacement starter well.

This is the kind of matchup where momentum and depth matter, and right now the Mets simply check more boxes. Even with a few minor lineup concerns, they’re better equipped for a road win. Solid value at a reasonable number.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/05/2025 09:43

Over/Under Pick - Under 9, (-110): B

The Mets bring momentum into this one sitting at the top of the NL East and a surging offense, but it's their pitching stability—despite a few key absences—that has really kept them afloat. With a rested bullpen and a reliable starter capable of handling an extended workload, New York is positioned to handle a low-scoring grind. Arizona, meanwhile, continues to battle both injury setbacks and an offensive drought, having scored just six runs across their last three games. With a veteran on the hill and the ballpark’s current setup limiting long balls, the edge leans toward a subdued scoreboard.

Even with big bats on both sides, the circumstances lean away from fireworks. Between depleted lineups, a pitcher-friendly environment, and top arms on the bump, this shapes up as a smart Under play.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/05/2025 09:43

Spread Pick - New York Mets, -1.5 (-130): B

The Mets head to Phoenix riding some okay form, bringing strong road form and plenty of pop into a matchup that favors their strengths. With their starter boasting a 2.00ERA away from home and key sluggers historically performing well at Chase Field, the edge leans clearly toward New York. Arizona, meanwhile, is shorthanded in both the rotation and the bullpen, with their starter showing a tendency to give up the long ball—never ideal against a lineup that’s found its groove.

This is one of those spots where the visiting team’s offensive momentum and pitching edge align perfectly with a run-line play. If the bats show up early, the Diamondbacks don’t have the relief depth to mount a late comeback. Backing the Mets to cover at plus money holds solid value.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/05/2025 09:43

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