NBA

Pelicans vs Bucks

Injured Birds Face the Deer Stampede in Lopsided Showdown

New Orleans Pelicans

King Cake Baby (21-58) VS Bango Jr (45-34)

April 10, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI

Milwaukee Bucks
Moneyline Pick: Milwaukee Bucks (-1100) - Grade: B

Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks enter Wednesday night's contest on a blistering five-game winning streak, while the reeling Pelicans limp into Milwaukee with four straight losses and only 21 wins on the season. The Crescent City’s squad is severely undermanned with Zion Williamson, and Trey Murphy III all sidelined, further diminishing any hopes of ending their losing skid. Meanwhile, the Deer are approaching playoff form, with Damian Lillard and healthy and contributing, giving Milwaukee the edge in both experience and momentum. Giannis has historically torched New Orleans, averaging over 28 points and 12 rebounds in their last five meetings. With the Bucks still jockeying for Eastern Conference positioning and the Pelicans firmly rooted at the bottom of the West, expect the Cream City crew to protect their home court with ease. That said, the -1100 moneyline brings low valuation for bettors, even with a high win probability, which slightly lowers the betting grade. Recommended pick: Milwaukee Bucks. Grade: B. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Over/Under Pick: Under 221.5, (-110) - Grade: B-

The Bucks, winners of five straight, have hit their stride just in time to tune up for playoff seeding, while the reeling Pelicans—losers of four in a row—look like they're counting the seconds to draft night. With Zion Williamson ruled out. Meanwhile, Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Deer are expected to manage minutes with nothing major at stake beyond playoff positioning, likely resulting in a more methodical pace. Both teams are at the tail end of the regular season with one eye on summer vacation or playoff basketball, leading to a conservative tempo and likely limited scoring output. Though the 221.5 total is modest by 2025 standards, hitting the Under is still the smarter play here, buoyed by roster absences and motivational questions. It’s not a slam dunk but carries moderate value—Grade: B-. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Spread Pick: Milwaukee Bucks, -15 (-110) - Grade: B


Giannis Antetokounmpo and the surging Bucks are looking to keep their win streak alive against a Pelicans squad stumbling toward the lottery. Milwaukee, winners of five straight, are in strong closing form as they shore up seeding in a crowded Eastern Conference playoff picture. The Pelicans, meanwhile, are riding a brutal four-game skid and have dropped 10 of their last 11, with Zion Williamson sidelined again due to ongoing hamstring issues. While oddsmakers are handing the Pels a generous +15, this feels like a blowout in waiting. Milwaukee's motivation is high, their rotation healthy, and with Damian Lillard heating up from deep — he dropped 35 the last time these squads met — the Smoothie Boys might be down big early. While double-digit spreads have risk baked in, the Bucks' recent dominance and New Orleans’ total unraveling give this pick above-average value. Grade: B  
Odds and availability are subject to change.

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