NHL

Canadiens vs Maple Leafs

The Habs’ hot streak meets the Leafs’ home-ice fortress

Montreal Canadiens

Canadiens (39-30-9) VS Maple Leafs (48-26-4)

Apr 12, 2025 | 18:00 ET | Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline Pick: Toronto (-250): Grade of Pick: B

Montreal comes into this rivalry game riding a wave of recent success, but still contending with key absences that may impact their ability to sustain momentum. Toronto, by contrast, is relatively healthy and carries just enough recent form to tip the scales in their favor. As the season nears its close and postseason implications become more pronounced, the Maple Leafs’ home-ice advantage and overall roster stability make them the more reliable side in this clash.

Now, -250 on the moneyline isn’t going to make anyone rich overnight, but it’s a bet rooted in consistency. Toronto’s got the edge in depth and structure right now, and even though Montreal’s been hot, the circumstances favor the home team. It’s not the lowest-risk play out there, but if you’re looking for a steady option with playoff stakes in the mix, this one checks enough boxes to feel good about.

Over/Under Pick: Over 6, (+110) - B

Montreal enters this matchup in strong form, continuing to generate offense despite dealing with a few lineup challenges. Toronto, meanwhile, is looking to build off a recent victory and regain consistency as the postseason picture sharpens. With both teams managing key absences in different areas of the ice, the ingredients are in place for an up-tempo, high-intensity game. As playoff positioning becomes more critical, the pace and urgency are expected to rise on both sides of the puck.

Honestly, this one feels like it could turn into a bit of a shootout. You’ve got two teams with plenty to play for, some vulnerabilities in key spots, and a history of lighting it up when they face off. It’s one of those games where backing the Over might be the smartest play—plenty of firepower, not a lot of shutdown defense. Expect a high-scoring frenzy as these rivals push the pace!

Puckline Pick: Montreal Canadiens, -1.5 (-130) - B

Montreal enters this matchup riding a wave of strong play, even while navigating some roster challenges. Toronto, on the other hand, has had a less consistent stretch and could be missing a key presence on the blue line. Despite some past difficulties against this opponent, Montreal’s current rhythm and urgency in the playoff race give them a legitimate edge. This contest is expected to be physical and tightly contested, but the Canadiens’ momentum positions them well to deliver a decisive result.

If you’re looking for value beyond the moneyline, the puckline on Montreal looks pretty tempting here. With how they've been grinding out wins lately—and Toronto looking just a bit out of sync—it wouldn’t be shocking to see the visitors pull away late. It’s not a slam dunk, but at -1.5 with a B-grade confidence level, this play feels like a smart risk with potential for a knockout-style finish.

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