NHL

Canadiens vs Senators

The Habs Stay Hot While Sens Feel the Playoff Heat

Montreal Canadiens

Habs (39-30-9) VS Sens (42-30-6)

Apr 11, 2025 | 18:00 ET | Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Ottawa Senators
Moneyline Pick: Montreal Canadiens (+143): Grade B+

Fresh off a six-game winning tear, the surging Habs roll into the Canadian Tire Centre on Friday night aiming to keep their postseason hopes alive, and the value on their Moneyline is hard to ignore. While the Senators are slightly ahead in the standings, their recent form—having dropped their last game and going 6-3-1 in their previous 10—is not great. Meanwhile, Nick Suzuki has been remarkable for the Canadiens, racking up 12 points in their six-game streak, including 4 goals in his last three games against Ottawa. Historically, Montreal seems to have Ottawa's number, winning three of their last four matchups. With both teams in the thick of the Wild Card chase and every point critical, the edge lies in momentum, not home ice. At +143, the Canadiens present strong value for a late-season road upset. Recommendation: Take Montreal Moneyline with confidence, This pick earns a solid B+ for moderate risk with solid upside. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Over/Under Pick: Under 6, (+100) - Grade B-

The Canadiens come into Ottawa riding a scorching six-game win streak, sparked by a hot top line led by captain Nick Suzuki and the resurgence of Cole Caufield’s finishing touch. But despite the Habs’ recent success, their last four wins have come in games with totals of five goals or fewer—a telling sign that they’ve been winning with disciplined, defensive hockey. The Sens, meanwhile, stumble into this matchup off a lopsided 5-2 loss and have struggled to find consistent scoring outside of Tim Stützle and Brady Tkachuk.  Looking at recent head-to-head matchups, the last three meetings between the squads averaged just 5.3 goals per game. With both sides well into the tail end of the season and battling for Wild Card seeding, expect playoff-level urgency and tighter checking at both ends. While the line is tempting for bettors drawn to the offensive upside of both rosters, the late-season intensity and injury factors tilt this game toward the Under. Grade B- for its decent odds but moderate risk if either top forward group breaks through. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Puckline Pick: Montreal Canadiens, -1.5 (+178) - Grade: B+

The Habs are heating up at exactly the right time. Riding a six-game win streak into a divisional tilt against the sliding Senators, Montreal is looking more confident than ever as the regular season nears its conclusion. On the flip side, Cole Caufield continues to torch opponents, collecting 11 points over his last 6 games, and he’s historically lit up Ottawa with 9 goals in 11 career matchups. The Canadiens are right on the playoff bubble, and this game is a must-win for them to tighten their grip on wildcard hopes. Given all these factors, the smart edge leans toward a Montreal cover on the puckline, as the Sens’ tired legs and battered roster may not withstand the Canadiens’ current momentum. Odds-wise, the +178 payout brings compelling value, especially for a red-hot team facing a division rival missing key contributors. This bet earns a solid B+ grade, with strong upside value paired to recent form—but there’s always slight risk in rivalry tension games. Odds and availability are subject to change.

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