MLB

Nationals vs Cubs

Home chalk looks strong, but a pesky underdog may still cash.

Washington Nationals

Nationals (0-0) VS Cubs (0-0)

March 26, 2026 | 2:20 PM ET | Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Chicago Cubs
Moneyline Pick - Chicago Cubs (-232): B-
Chicago’s deep but banged-up roster still makes the Cubs moneyline the side to back, with both teams entering Opening Day at 0-0 and no current streaks but Chicago carrying stronger recent form and a clear talent edge. Even with Justin Steele and Seiya Suzuki sidelined, the combination of Ian Happ, Dansby Swanson, Alex Bregman, Nico Hoerner, and Pete Crow-Armstrong has repeatedly punished Nationals pitching in recent matchups, while Washington is still leaning heavily on emerging bats like CJ Abrams, James Wood, and Keibert Ruiz. The Nationals’ own injury issues in the pitching staff thin their depth behind presumed starters, and Chicago has taken the majority of recent head-to-head games at Wrigley, but the steep -232 price and early-season volatility cap this as a B- confidence play rather than a slam dunk. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/03/2026 10:22
Over/Under Pick - Over 7.5 (-116): B
Washington’s young core of Abrams, Wood, and Joey Wiemer facing a Chicago staff missing key arms like Steele and several bullpen pieces, combined with the Cubs’ own potent lineup, nudges this matchup toward the Over 7.5 despite both teams starting the year without a defined winning or losing streak. Recent series between these clubs have featured crooked numbers when hitters like Happ and Swanson lock in against a still-developing Nationals pitching group, and Washington’s own rotation depth is compromised by injuries that can expose the middle innings. With both lineups capable of capitalizing on any early-rust command issues in a daytime Wrigley setting, runs should come in enough bunches to warrant a play on the over, though early-season uncertainty keeps it at a solid but not elite B-grade position. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/03/2026 10:22
Spread Pick - Washington Nationals, +1.5 (-114): B+
CJ Abrams and the scrappy Nationals make Washington +1.5 an appealing spread angle, as both teams arrive at 0-0 with no active streaks and the Cubs’ cluster of injuries — especially Steele atop the rotation and Suzuki in the outfield — increasing the chances of a tighter Opening Day scoreline. Chicago’s lineup depth and strong recent record in this matchup still make an outright Cubs win more likely, but Washington’s improved athleticism with pieces like James Wood, Joey Wiemer, and a healthier bullpen core behind a patchwork rotation gives them enough offense and late-game fight to keep this within a run plenty of the time. Getting the extra 1.5 runs at -114 while backing a young offense that has already shown it can put pressure on this pitching staff offers a favorable mix of hit rate and value, earning this bet a B+ as the most attractive position of the three. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/03/2026 10:22
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