Blue Jays vs Twins

Toronto’s 6-4 run over their last 10, including back-to-back convincing wins in this series, sets them up well on the moneyline against a Twins club that’s 2-8 over the same stretch and has dropped the first two by a combined double-digit margin, even with Joe Ryan’s strong track record and recent 7-inning, 2-run outing versus the Jays earlier this year. With rookie Trey Yesavage coming off a scoreless debut, the Blue Jays’ rotation currently looks deeper than Minnesota’s, which is still navigating injuries in the staff, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s career .280-plus clip with solid power numbers against the Twins adds a middle-of-the-order edge even if George Springer’s foot issue keeps him out of the lineup. I like Toronto to finish off the series with another win at a reasonable road price, though Ryan’s ceiling keeps this in B+ rather than A territory. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/05/2026 09:40

Joe Ryan drawing a hot-but-Springer-thin Blue Jays lineup opposite a rookie in Trey Yesavage who just dealt 5.1 scoreless frames makes the under 8 appealing, especially with Minnesota’s bats scuffling to 2-8 in their last 10 and averaging barely over four runs per game while the Jays’ run prevention has stabilized behind better starting pitching. The Twins have already been held in check twice this series and face a Toronto staff that should have key bullpen arms rested after two relatively stress-free wins, while the midday start and a mild crosswind at Target Field should keep the park playing closer to neutral than homer-happy. Toronto is still scoring well enough that a late crooked number is a risk, but with Ryan’s efficiency against the Jays and a compromised Blue Jays top of the order without a fully healthy Springer, the under 8 at -110 grades out as a solid but not elite B. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/05/2026 09:40

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. anchoring a lineup that has outscored Minnesota comfortably in the first two games makes Toronto -1.5 at +140 tempting, particularly with the Twins riding a two-game skid in this series and a 2-8 slide over their last 10 in which they’ve often lost by multiple runs. Joe Ryan is good enough to keep Minnesota competitive, but with key arms like Max Scherzer sidelined and a bullpen that’s been leaned on heavily during this rough stretch, there’s real downside if Ryan exits early and Toronto’s deeper, more flexible offense gets repeated looks at lower-leverage relievers, even if George Springer’s foot limits the Jays’ ceiling a bit. Given the inherent variance of a road run line against a capable starter and a Twins lineup that still has pop with hitters like Royce Lewis, I’ll take the plus money on Toronto -1.5 but only at a C+ confidence level. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/05/2026 09:40