Athletics vs Mets

Oakland’s four-game winning streak against a Mets club that has dropped four straight, including the first two games of this series, makes the plus-money side hard to ignore. With Brent Rooker on the IL for the A’s but Juan Soto and several key Mets arms sidelined, New York’s depth — especially in the late innings — looks thinner than usual. Recent head-to-head damage from Tyler Soderstrom, Carlos Cortes, and Jeff McNeil against this Mets staff contrasts with an offense that’s leaned heavily on Luis Robert, Bo Bichette, and Francisco Alvarez to keep pace, and Aaron Civale’s early-season command profile matches up well against a scuffling lineup while Freddy Peralta has been more volatile. I’m taking the Athletics on the moneyline at +150 as a solid value play, but with underdog variance still in play this grades out as a B. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/04/2026 09:47

Freddy Peralta’s strikeout ceiling and Aaron Civale’s efficiency, paired with the Mets’ four-game skid in which their Soto-less lineup has struggled to sustain rallies, tilt this matchup toward runs being at a premium despite yesterday’s explosion. Both teams enter on opposite streaks — the A’s rolling and the Mets reeling — but Oakland’s recent power binge in this series came largely from Soderstrom and Cortes, while Rooker’s injury and a cool April afternoon in Queens should temper long-ball expectations. With Civale and Peralta both capable of working six strong, and bullpens that are better than they looked in Saturday’s outlier, I like this to settle into a tighter, lower-scoring game than the market seems to fear, so I’ll play Under 8 at -120 with a B+ grade for a strong combination of likelihood and fair juice. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/04/2026 09:47

The Mets’ current four-game slide and recent habit of playing from behind, even at Citi Field, make it tough to trust them to win by margin against an Oakland team riding a four-game heater and already up 2-0 in this series. With Soto out and Clay Holmes banged up, New York’s lineup and back-end relief look thinner, while Oakland has gotten big series performances from Soderstrom and McNeil plus steady work from Civale and a deep middle-relief mix. Given how these first two games swung on late-inning swings and shaky Mets middle relief, grabbing the run and a half with the hotter, healthier side at -162 is more about protecting against a tight loss than hunting a blowout, so I’ll grade Athletics +1.5 a B- due to the heavy juice but solid profile of a competitive game. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/04/2026 09:47