MLB

Athletics vs Mets

Streaking visitors, wounded bats, and an ace set a tight Queens tipping point.

Athletics

Athletics (5-7) VS Mets (7-6)

April 11, 2026 | 4:10 PM ET | Citi Field, Queens, NY

New York Mets
Moneyline Pick - New York Mets (-162): B
Kodai Senga and the Mets bring a three-game losing skid and a 17-inning scoreless drought into this one, but with his strikeout-heavy profile opposing Jacob Lopez’s shaky early command, a Rooker-less Athletics lineup that just played a high-leverage win, and Citi Field’s run-suppressing environment, this sets up as a classic buy-low spot on a better overall roster finally facing a softer lefty after a rough week, so I’m still willing to lay the -162 with New York on the moneyline at a B grade for probability over price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/04/2026 09:47
Over/Under Pick - Under 7.5 (-110): B+
Jacob Lopez draws a struggling Mets offense that has been shut out in back-to-back games while Kodai Senga, who already handled this lineup well in past meetings, now faces an Athletics order missing Brent Rooker and coming off three straight wins, and with Citi Field dampening power plus both bullpens reasonably set up after last night’s low-scoring opener, the ingredients point more toward another tight, pitching-driven contest than an offensive breakout, so I like Under 7.5 at -110 with a B+ grade for the combination of matchup, park, and recent form. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/04/2026 09:47
Spread Pick - New York Mets, -1.5 (-138): B-
The Athletics have seized the momentum with three straight wins over the Yankees and Mets, but with Jacob Lopez’s inflated WHIP, Brent Rooker sidelined, and Kodai Senga positioned to work deep in front of a rested high-leverage group in his home park where New York’s lineup has historically done better against mid-rotation lefties, this profiles as a bounce-back spot where a frustrated Mets club can finally string together enough damage to cover the -1.5 at -138, earning only a B- grade because recent offensive anemia still leaves real one-run-game risk attached to the payoff. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/04/2026 09:47
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