MLB
Yankees vs Mariners
Fried and Gilbert set the tone for a tense night in Seattle.

New York Yankees
Yankees (3-0) VS Mariners (2-2)
March 31, 2026 | 9:40 PM ET | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Seattle Mariners

Moneyline Pick - New York Yankees (-113): B
Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees bring a 3-0 start into T-Mobile Park against a 2-2 Mariners team, and I lean toward the slight road favorite at -113 on the moneyline. Even with Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón and Anthony Volpe on the shelf, New York’s run-prevention unit has opened with dominant work and now hands the ball to Max Fried, fresh off a shutout debut, in front of a deep bullpen. Seattle’s offense still has juice with Julio Rodríguez, Cal Raleigh and Josh Naylor, but the lineup is thinner without J.P. Crawford and must solve an elite lefty while Logan Gilbert faces a Bronx order that has consistently done damage in this park, especially Judge. With the Yankees’ current form and only a modest tax on the price, I grade Yankees -113 a B for solid but not elite value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/03/2026 10:17
Over/Under Pick - Under 7, (-116): B+
Max Fried and Logan Gilbert profile as a classic Under pairing as the 3-0 Yankees visit the 2-2 Mariners in a pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park with a total of 7. New York’s rotation has already stacked early-season shutouts and still rolls out high-octane late-inning arms despite injuries to Cole and Rodón, while Seattle’s offense is missing table-setter J.P. Crawford and has been uneven outside of stars like Rodríguez and Raleigh. With Gilbert’s strikeout upside at home, Fried’s ground-ball habits against a righty-heavy Seattle lineup, and recent meetings in this park tending toward modest scoring, I like Under 7 at -116 with a B+ grade given the strong pitching indicators even against two powerful lineups. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/03/2026 10:17
Spread Pick - Seattle Mariners, +1.5 (-180): C+
Seattle Mariners getting +1.5 runs at -180 are my lean on the spread as they host the 3-0 Yankees in a matchup that again points to a tight, low-total game. Both clubs are navigating rotation injuries at the top (Cole and Rodón for New York, Bryce Miller for Seattle), yet tonight’s Fried–Gilbert pairing plus strong bullpens led by arms like Andrés Muñoz and Matt Brash suggests run prevention will stay front and center. Seattle’s core of Rodríguez, Raleigh and Naylor is good enough to keep them within striking distance even if the Yankees’ star-laden lineup — with Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Cody Bellinger — jumps ahead, so grabbing the extra run at home has real appeal, though the heavy juice caps the edge; I grade Mariners +1.5 (-180) a C+ as a reasonable but price-sensitive way to back a close finish. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/03/2026 10:17
One line difference can make or break your profit. Use our Live Odds tool to maximise your expected value.
Get the best odds on this prediction
Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks
Related posts
Check out the latest picks from Shurzy AI and our team of experts.
