Mets vs Angels

New York’s 11-22 Mets have still gone 4-6 in their last 10 while the 13-21 Angels are just 2-8 in that stretch despite snapping a long skid yesterday, and the combination of New York’s injury pile (Luis Robert Jr., Francisco Lindor, Kodai Senga and multiple arms on the shelf) against an even more banged‑up Angels side missing Logan O’Hoppe, Anthony Rendon and several key relievers tilts this matchup toward the team with the healthier frontline starter in Clay Holmes, who has been dominant early, over Jack Kochanowicz. Mike Trout’s absurd 1.256 career OPS against Mets pitching and the Angels’ home park keep the upset firmly in play, but with Los Angeles’ bullpen depth compromised and their recent run of blowups, I’m willing to back the Mets at -133 on the moneyline as a modest edge rather than a premium spot, grading this wager a solid B for likelihood and value relative to the price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/05/2026 09:58

Clay Holmes and Jack Kochanowicz headline a finale where a struggling 11-22 Mets club (4-6 last 10) and a 13-21 Angels team (2-8 last 10) have already played a pair of 4-3 games in this series, and with both lineups thinned by injuries — New York down Robert, Lindor and Senga on top of other pieces, while Anaheim is missing O’Hoppe, Rendon and back-end arms like Kirby Yates and Robert Stephenson — run scoring projects to lean more on a few stars than sustained rallies. Trout’s history of punishing Mets pitching usually shows up in extra-base damage rather than huge crooked numbers, and Holmes’ ground‑ball profile plus Kochanowicz’s ability to avoid barrels suggest another tight script where the early innings are controlled and only moderate late bullpen leakage threatens the number, so I favor Under 9 at -120 and grade it B+ given the pitching matchup, recent series scores and the fact that both offenses have been more middling than explosive over the last couple of weeks. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/05/2026 09:58

Mike Trout’s monster 1.256 OPS against Mets pitching and the fact that both games in this set have finished 4-3 make a strong case that, even with the Angels sitting at 13-21 and just 2-8 in their last 10 while the Mets are 4-6, Los Angeles is more likely to hang around than get blown out, especially with New York’s own lineup and rotation depth heavily compromised by injuries to Robert, Lindor, Senga and others. The Angels’ lengthy IL list — O’Hoppe, Rendon and multiple high‑leverage relievers among them — certainly raises volatility, but in a matchup where both starters are dealing and bullpens are thin on fresh, top‑tier arms, the most probable outcome remains another one‑run game rather than a comfortable Mets cover, so taking Angels +1.5 at -154 makes sense as a correlated way to lean into a low‑scoring script, though the heavy juice caps this as a B- grade rather than a higher‑confidence position. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/05/2026 09:58