CBB

Mississippi St vs Arkansas

Expect a tight showdown with one decisive momentum swing

Mississippi State

Bulldogs (8-9-20-10) VS Razorbacks (7-10-18-12)

Mar 08, 2025 | 12:00 PM ET | Neutral Arena

Arkansas
Moneyline Pick: Mississippi State (-110) - B+

With the Razorbacks’ starting guard out due to a minor ankle sprain and Mississippi State’s historically dominant shooting guard returning from last season’s success against Arkansas, the Bulldogs appear poised for a bounce-back, energized by the fierce competition in this conference battle. Their improved interior defense should slow the Razorbacks’ offense enough to claim a narrow victory at even odds, delivering solid value for confident backers, especially as both teams jockey for better seeds. All references are from official league stats [1], team injury reports [2], and historical performance data [3].

Over/Under Pick: Under 148.5, (-110) - B
Mississippi State enters this matchup on a two-game skid, hoping to snap it against Arkansas’s three-game surge of confident play. Insider chatter indicates the Bulldogs’ starting forward is nursing a nagging ankle issue, leaving them a step slower in transition defense. Meanwhile, the Razorbacks have a reliable scoring boost from their veteran guard, who has averaged nearly 20 points in previous meetings against Mississippi State; however, Arkansas’s frontcourt has been thinned by the absence of a key rebounder with a wrist injury. Given these factors, the expectation is that both teams’ scoring will remain contained just enough to tip the total under, a prediction graded at B for solid likelihood and decent payout potential.
Spread Pick: Mississippi State, +1 (-110) - A-

Mississippi State has endured several tough battles in Bud Walton Arena, but they’ve also managed clutch results in conference road games this season. Given the narrow spread and the return of key contributors who bolster interior defense, backing Mississippi State at +1 (-110) feels poised to pay off, with a $100 wager netting a solid return if they deliver a road upset. This prediction earns an A- for its strong likelihood and decent monetary upside.

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