MLB

Twins vs Dodgers

Hollywood heavyweights should protect home turf—if the price feels right.

Minnesota Twins

Twins (48-52) VS Dodgers (59-42)

Jul 23, 2025 | 4:10 PM ET | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles

Los Angeles Dodgers
Moneyline Pick - Los Angeles Dodgers (-240): B+

Los Angeles opens this interleague matchup with form, depth, and favorable matchups across the board. The Dodgers have been steady offensively, led by a top-of-the-order spark that continues to produce, and they now hand the ball to a rested ace looking to re-establish dominance after a long injury layoff. Facing a Minnesota team that’s dropped three straight and remains thin in the bullpen, the Dodgers are positioned to control tempo from the first pitch. The visitors bring some pop, but historical splits and key absences—particularly in the back end of the bullpen—leave them vulnerable in late innings at a park where they’ve struggled before.

From a betting perspective, the prediction backs the Dodgers on the moneyline, even at a steep price. The pick reflects roster depth, pitching stability, and a bullpen built to hold leads, all in the hands of a team already pacing itself for October. While it’s not a discount play, the structure supports the favorite—especially when controlling both ends of the matchup. Just size the stake appropriately given the juice.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 23/07/2025 at 10:16am

Over/Under Pick - Over 8.5 (-120): B+

Los Angeles enters this marquee matchup swinging hot bats and riding a four-game streak, while Minnesota arrives with bullpen issues and poorly timed losses piling up. The Dodgers' lineup is stacked with in-form hitters, and key names have already shown success against the opposing starter. With Minnesota still monitoring its closer’s health and struggling to contain late-inning damage, the balance tips toward sustained pressure from the home team. However, the Twins have their own offensive firepower and could take advantage of a starter who’s been vulnerable to right-handed bats, giving this game more scoring potential than the surface-level pitching matchup might suggest.

The prediction leans toward the Over on the 8.5 run total. The pick hinges on power depth, struggling bullpens, and matchup-specific splits that highlight multiple high-impact bats on both sides. With both teams already deep into the playoff push and treating every game with postseason intensity, aggressive in-game management and late-inning swings only increase the scoring ceiling. This isn’t about defensive dominance—it’s about lineups ready to capitalize.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 23/07/2025 at 10:18am

Spread Pick - Minnesota Twins, +1.5 (-105): B

Minnesota heads into this matchup in need of a spark, and despite a recent slide, they catch Los Angeles in a spot where the run line offers some value. The Dodgers remain dangerous, but the absence of key pieces—both at the plate and on the mound—levels the playing field more than the odds suggest. With Mookie Betts and Walker Buehler unavailable, the offensive pressure falls squarely on a handful of bats, some of which have struggled in past matchups with Minnesota’s starter. The Twins may be chasing from below .500, but they’ve gotten timely reinforcements and enter with their top arms rested and ready.

From a betting standpoint, the prediction favors Minnesota at +1.5 on the run line. The pick reflects subtle edges: a strong recent run by the Twins’ starter, key historical splits, and bullpen freshness late in a long homestand for L.A. While it’s not a slam-dunk underdog play, the setup supports a close game—one where a one-run loss still cashes. Sometimes, betting value lies not in a win, but in keeping it close when expectations are tilted too far.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 23/07/2025 at 10:20am

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