NBA

Timberwolves vs Thunder

Riding the storm or howling at the moon?

Minnesota Timberwolves

Timberwolves (49-33) VS Thunder (68-14)

May 22, 2025 | 8:30 PM ET | Paycom Center – Oklahoma City

Oklahoma City Thunder
Moneyline Pick – Oklahoma City Thunder (-295): B-

The Thunder enter this game riding impressive performances, showing why they're the best team in the league, while the Timberwolves haven't been slouches by any means, getting humiliated in Game 1 could have been the start of the end for Minnesota's run in the playoffs. Oklahoma City has the benefit of a healthy and deep roster, which should allow them to exploit Minnesota’s weaker bench units, a group that has consistently underperformed over the past month. The Thunder’s stellar home record only adds to their advantage, as their fast-paced style often puts pressure on teams that rely on size and slower tempo, something that’s given Minnesota trouble in previous meetings.

Honestly, even though the odds might not be super attractive, everything points to Oklahoma City having the edge here. When you combine their current form, depth, and how they match up with Minnesota’s roster issues, it just feels like the smart move to back the Thunder, even if it means eating a bit of chalk.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 22/05/2025 09:20

Over/Under Pick - Over 215, (-110): B+

The Thunder’s offense has been firing on all cylinders in the playoffs, averaging 117 points per game, and they come into this matchup riding a sizeable win over the Timberwolves in Game 1 of this Western Conference Finals. Minnesota, despite coming into this series winning four straight, faces defensive challenges with some key rim protectors limited or uncertain due to wear and tear at this point of the season. Both teams are pushing the pace with what could be a nail in the coffin for the Timberwolves, and their recent meetings have seen high-scoring affairs, thanks in part to aggressive offensive play and late-game situations that tend to inflate totals.

When you look at the matchup trends and how these teams play, the over feels like the best angle here. Oklahoma City’s up-tempo style and Minnesota’s ability to score in clutch moments both support a higher total, especially with some defensive question marks in play. With everything lining up for another shootout, a play on the over 215 gets a B+ grade for offering good value and a strong likelihood of cashing.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 22/05/2025 09:20

Spread Pick - Minnesota Timberwolves, +7.5 (-113): B

Minnesota enters this matchup with positive momentum, winning four straight before getting handed a big loss in Game 1, while Oklahoma City rides a fantastic season, and one of the best showings in the playoffs into this series. The Thunder may also manage minutes tonight as they seeming could take their foot off the gas and still win easily, giving Minnesota’s strong interior rotation a real chance to keep the game within reach. The matchup points to a closer contest than the spread might suggest, especially considering Minnesota’s ability to attack the paint and defend on the perimeter.

Honestly, taking Minnesota with the points looks pretty appealing here. The combination of their motivation, matchup advantages inside, and the potential for Oklahoma City to ease off late makes the +7.5 an inviting option. This should be a competitive game, and backing the underdog for the cover feels like a solid bet.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 22/05/2025 09:20

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