NBA

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies

Memphis claws toward key seeding edge while Wolves stumble

Minnesota Timberwolves

Crunch the Wolf (46-33) VS Grizz (47-32)

April 10, 2025 | 9:30 PM ET | FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Memphis Grizzlies
Moneyline Pick: Memphis Grizzlies (-110) - Grade: B+

Riding a three-game winning streak and fueled by the return of Jaren Jackson Jr., the Memphis Grizzlies are in prime form heading into Wednesday night's showdown against the sliding Minnesota Timberwolves.  Memphis also benefits from a strong postseason push—currently neck-and-neck with Minnesota in the standings—raising the stakes for possible tiebreaker implications. Despite the absence of Ja Morant still looming over the playoff-hungry Grizz, Desmond Bane has stepped up as a reliable scorer, averaging 23.5 points over his last four games, and has historically performed well versus Minnesota. Anthony Edwards leads the charge for the T-Wolves, but his workload is increasingly heavy with Mike Conley’s offense sputtering lately. While the odds are even, the momentum, depth, and home-court energy favor the Beale Street Bears. Recommendation: back Memphis on the moneyline with moderate confidence—this pick is high in value but not without some risk given both teams’ playoff motivations. Grade: B+. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/04/2025 04:56

Over/Under Pick: Under 233, (-110) - Grade: B-

After three consecutive wins, the Grizzlies swagger into Target Center with momentum, but they’ll need to do so without a key spark — Ja Morant remains sidelined for the season, and Marcus Smart is still nursing a lingering toe injury. The Wolves, meanwhile, come off a tough loss and continue struggling to find scoring rhythm with inconsistent contributions from the bench. With playoff seeding at stake and both teams already above 45 wins, this clash is likely to reflect the defensive grit seen more often in late-season showdowns. Expect Jaren Jackson Jr. and Rudy Gobert to control the paint, suppressing second-chance points and keeping the tempo grounded. Though Anthony Edwards has historically lit up the Grizz, Memphis’ top-five defensive metrics since the All-Star break should limit fast-break explosions. These teams have failed to surpass 233 total points in five of their last six meetings, and that trend should hold considering postseason pressure and missing star power. This under carries solid value and reasonable risk but lacks elite upside without explosive players like Morant on the court. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Spread Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves, -0 (-110) - Grade B

Anthony Edwards will be the focal point as the Timberwolves try to end a brief skid and get back on track at Target Center.  Rudy Gobert provides matchup problems in the paint, especially with Jaren Jackson Jr. tasked with extra defensive responsibilities. The Wolves are clinging to home-court hopes with just a few games left, and with both teams deadlocked in playoff seeding, the urgency should favor the more balanced, healthier squad on their home floor. This pick comes with moderate upside given the even line, earning it a Grade B for reasonable confidence and solid value. Odds and availability are subject to change.

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