NBA

Bucks vs Pistons

Pistons skid opens the door for surging Bucks upset

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks (45-34) VS Detroit Pistons (43-36)

April 11, 2025 | 7:00 PM ET | Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Pistons
Moneyline Pick: Milwaukee Bucks (+185) - Grade: B+

Giannis Antetokounmpo and the red-hot Milwaukee Bucks enter Detroit riding a six-game winning streak and a surge of late-season urgency. Meanwhile, the slumping Pistons have dropped two of their last three and look shaky as they close in on postseason seeding. Detroit’s recent inconsistency is further complicated by Cade Cunningham’s questionable health—he’s nursing a lingering ankle issue that limited his explosiveness in the last two games. Historically, Giannis has delivered dominant performances against the Pistons, averaging over 28 points per game in their last five meetings. With Khris Middleton finally returning to solid form, Milwaukee is reaching peak form at just the right time, despite losing guard Damian Lillard to calf injury. The Pistons—still young and streaky—are vulnerable in this spot, especially if their interior defense can’t contain Giannis’s downhill attack. Given the Bucks' upward momentum and several key matchup advantages, backing the Deer as underdogs holds solid value. The +185 line adds impressive upside to a prediction that carries a B+ confidence grade. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Over/Under Pick: Under 228.5, (-110) - Grade: B

With the Pistons riding a two-game losing skid and the Bucks catching fire with a six-game win streak, momentum clearly leans toward the Deer in this Central Division clash. However, Milwaukee may lack some scoring punch with Khris Middleton recovering from his hamstring issue, leaning more responsibility on Giannis Antetokounmpo, who have historically struggled to pour it on in Detroit. On the flip side, the Motor City squad is also battling thin rotations—Cade Cunningham has not been himself post-injury, possibly limiting their backcourt explosiveness. While both teams have reasons to push for playoff seeding with the regular season ends just around the corner, this pressure could slow the game pace. This game has potential for scoring, but a grind-it-out style seems more likely given the circumstances. Take the Under with modest confidence.  
Odds and availability are subject to change.

Spread Pick: Milwaukee Bucks, +5.5 (-110) - Grade: B+

Giannis Antetokounmpo and the high-stepping Bucks are riding a six-game heater into Detroit, and recent form suggests that the Deer are poised to keep it close—or even swipe a road win. Meanwhile, the Pistons have sputtered down the stretch, losers of two of their last three and now sweating over their playoff position in the East. Detroit's recent backcourt inconsistency combined with Cade Cunningham nursing a sore ankle complicates their ability to cover a -5.5 spread, especially against a Milwaukee squad featuring a fully healthy Khris Middleton back on the floor. The Bucks are 2-0 versus the Pistons this season, and the Greek Freak has averaged a double-double in those contests. With the regular season nearing its conclusion, Milwaukee remains motivated to secure seeding in a congested playoff field, while the Pistons’ slide is putting pressure on their depth—an issue when your top defenders are dealing with late-season wear and tear. The +5.5 spread provides just enough cushion for a seasoned Milwaukee team that knows how to win ugly on the road. Odds and availability are subject to change.

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