MLB

Brewers vs Rays

Home dome heat could melt Milwaukee's mid-week momentum

Milwaukee Brewers

Brewers (19-19) VS Rays (16-20)

May 09, 2025 | 7:05 PM ET | George M. Steinbrenner Field

Tampa Bay Rays
Moneyline Pick - Tampa Bay Rays (-110): B Grade

The Rays enter this matchup with a lack of momentum, with a 3-7 run in their last ten, while Milwaukee comes into town with fairly good form, on a 6-4 run in their last ten. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff, recently bolstered by returning arms, presents a clear advantage against a Brewers team battling key injuries and lineup limitations. Historically, Tampa's hitters have found consistent success against Milwaukee pitching, further solidifying their edge. With urgency rising for the Rays to stay competitive in a challenging AL East, the "home"-field advantage at Steinbrenner Field provides an additional boost. At near-even odds, backing the Rays offers solid, moderate value worthy of a B grade.

Honestly, taking the Rays here makes sense—they've started clicking again, they're healthier, and the Brewers seem shaky right now. It's not flashy, but at pick-'em odds, it's a sensible bet.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/05/2025 09:43

Over/Under Pick - Under 9, (-108): B

Milwaukee enters Tampa Bay leaning heavily on outstanding recent pitching performances but hampered by prolonged offensive inconsistency. Meanwhile, the Rays struggle offensively themselves, dealing with injuries that further limit their scoring potential. Both starting pitchers have strong track records in this specific matchup, and Tampa Bay's bullpen has recently climbed back to top form. With each team's hitters currently cold and the slightly pitcher friendly confines of Steinbrenner Field, a low-scoring affair appears highly likely. The Under provides solid betting value here at -110 or better, earning a medium-confidence B grade.

Honestly, runs should be hard to come by tonight. Both teams' bats are quiet, pitching staffs are dialed in, and with Tampa’s dome helping limit scoring, the Under looks like the smart play.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/05/2025 09:43

Spread Pick - Tampa Bay Rays, +1 (-152): B-

Tampa Bay rides some less than stellar form into this contest, contrasting with Milwaukee’s recent recent form, despite ongoing pitching challenges and bullpen instability. The Rays' lineup historically fares well against Brewers pitching, and their relief corps is rested and performing strongly, creating an important late-inning advantage. While Milwaukee's rotation struggles persist, especially in road matchups against Tampa Bay, the Rays appear poised to leverage their healthier staff and improved bullpen form. Although paying heavier juice slightly reduces overall value, backing Tampa with the added run cushion remains a solid B- play given their home-field edge and current form.

Honestly, taking Tampa with the extra run feels like the safer bet here. Milwaukee’s struggling bullpen and rotation issues add up, making it hard to trust them. Tampa looks steady enough to squeak out the cover at home.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/05/2025 09:44.

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