MLB
Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
The Snakes strike true at home despite Brew Crew momentum

Milwaukee Brewers
Brewers (7-5) VS Diamondbacks (7-6)
April 11, 2025 | 9:40 PM ET | Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Arizona Diamondbacks
Moneyline Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (-166) - Grade: B
Despite the Milwaukee Brewers riding a three-game winning streak into Chase Field, this one likely tilts in favor of the desert-dwelling Snakes. The Arizona Diamondbacks have momentum of their own with two straight wins and will lean on Zac Gallen, who has been lethal against the Crew in past matchups (2.79 ERA in four career starts vs. Milwaukee). Meanwhile, the Brew Crew will turn to Colin Rea, who has shown inconsistency early in the season and historically struggles in hitter-friendly parks like Chase Field. Additionally, Milwaukee may still be without key infielder Andruw Monasterio (out with a wrist injury), shaving down some lineup depth. Arizona’s recent surge has also been spearheaded by Corbin Carroll returning to top form after a slow start — his speed and OBP make him a problem for Rea’s slower delivery. While both teams are trying to carve out early division leads, Arizona has more balanced weapons that match up well at home. At -166, the odds aren’t great value-wise, but the probability of a win gives this pick a solid grade of B. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/04/2025 06:47
Over/Under Pick: Over 8.5, (-110) - Grade: B+
Riding a three-game win streak, the Brew Crew enters Chase Field with confidence, led by a surging William Contreras, who’s hitting .333 over the last week, and a healthy Christian Yelich providing consistent veteran presence. The Snakes, too, are coming in hot with a two-game streak and offensive momentum sparked by Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte, both of whom have hit well historically against Milwaukee pitching. Notably, there's no major injury news hampering either roster, keeping both lineups at full strength. The D-backs send Brandon Pfaadt to the mound, who’s struggled at home with a 5.20 ERA this season, while the Brewers counter with Freddy Peralta—dominant at times but known to give up the long ball, especially in hitter-friendly environments like Chase Field. Given both teams' recent offensive output and history of trading high-scoring games, this total of 8.5 feels ripe for the over to cash, especially with key bats heating up early in the season. The unpredictable nature of early April baseball tempers certainty, so while the upside is promising, we give it a solid B+ for value and likelihood. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/04/2025 06:47
Spread Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks, -1.5 (-114) - Grade: B
The Diamondbacks return to Chase Field riding a modest two-game win streak, and they’re set to face a Milwaukee squad that’s hot but leaning heavily on a patchy rotation. With Freddy Peralta shelved due to right shoulder fatigue, the Brew Crew’s depth is being tested, which could spell trouble against a D-backs lineup that’s finally waking up. Corbin Carroll has owned Milwaukee pitching, slashing .391 against them last season, and he’s rounding into form at just the right moment. Meanwhile, the Snakes’ starter Brandon Pfaadt has shown better command early this year, giving Arizona a reliable arm to lean on against a Brewers lineup that, aside from William Contreras, hasn’t consistently produced. While Milwaukee’s three-game win streak is impressive, their margin for error shrinks without Peralta, especially on the road in a hitter-friendly park against a team hungry to rise above .500. The moneyline lean is understandable, but the value lies in backing Arizona to cover the -1.5 at home. Give this one a solid B for balanced risk with above-average payout potential. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/04/2025 06:47
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