MLB

Marlins vs Padres

Surf’s up for San Diego; fish may flounder in Petco.

Miami Marlins

Marlins (21-31) VS Padres (30-22)

May 27, 2025 | 9:40 PM ET | Petco Park, San Diego

San Diego Padres
Moneyline Pick - San Diego Padres (-190): B

San Diego enters this matchup riding a two-game win streak and looking sharp on both sides of the ball, while Miami drags in on having lost three of their last five games and are missing key arms from both the rotation and bullpen. The Padres benefit from a stable lineup and a rested relief duo that’s helped them close games cleanly, and they send out a starter who’s found consistent success against this opponent. The Marlins, by contrast, continue to struggle with control and depth, especially in late innings.

With San Diego still chasing the division lead and Miami buried below .500, the motivational gap is hard to ignore. Backing the Padres at home carries a steep price, but the reliability of their bats and bullpen makes the run worth the lay.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/05/2025 09:52

Over/Under Pick - Under 7.5 (-110): B+

San Diego enters this one riding a two-game hot streak, while Miami continues to battle through a slump and a thinned roster missing key lineup and rotation pieces. The Padres get a boost with their starting rotation finding a groove, on top of dominating this opponent earlier in the past. On the other side, Miami counters with a starter who’s pitched well in limited chances against San Diego, and with both teams lacking speed threats and key bats, scoring chances may be limited.

Given the pitching matchups, cooler night conditions, and the lack of urgency on the basepaths, this one profiles more like a grinder than a slugfest. Both bullpens should be fresh and effective, so the under looks like the right angle here.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/05/2025 09:52

Spread Pick - San Diego Padres, -1.5 (-122): B

San Diego rides into this one with momentum and a clear edge in form, having won two straight while Miami arrives struggling and missing key arms at both ends of its staff. With their ace still sidelined and the bullpen reeling from recent blowups, the Marlins face a tall task against a Padres team that’s been steadily productive and gets another quality arm on the hill. San Diego's deeper rotation depth and a favourable park setting give them a good shot to maintain control throughout.

Even without one of their regular starters, the Padres have the upper hand across the board and the offensive firepower to build a lead. Given Miami’s current state and the lopsided bullpen comparison, laying the 1.5 runs feels justified.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/05/2025 09:53

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