Marlins vs Mets
Hot-handed Mets look to reel in stumbling Fish at Citi

Marlins (5-6) VS Mets (7-3)
April 09, 2025 | 1:10 PM ET | Citi Field, New York

The surging Mets enter Wednesday's matinee riding a six-game winning streak, and with Francisco Lindor heating up — posting a .375 average over his last five games — they look primed to keep rolling against a Marlins club that’s cooled off after a promising 5-6 start. The Fish have now lost two straight, with offensive struggles mounting as the Marlins settle into their expected form. History isn’t on Miami’s side either: Max Meyer has struggled, holding a 9.00 career ERA at Citi Field. Meanwhile, Tylor Megill toes the rubber for the Mets and boasts a 3.79 ERA at home and has fanned 8 Marlins in his only start against them last season without allowing a run. While the -235 line offers less value, the combination of current form, recent injuries, and pitcher matchup give the Mets a solid edge. We recommend a cautious pick on New York with a grade of B — not the best return, but the odds of success are strong given current trends. Odds and availability are subject to change.
Mets pitcher Tylor Megill has consistently turned Citi Field into a no-fly zone, especially against Miami, whom he held to 9 runs across 21.2 innings in his career. Backed by the Flushing Faithful and coming off a hot 6-game win streak, the Amazins’ strong rotation looks ready to go low again. On the other side, the struggling Marlins bring in Max Meyer, who, despite Miami’s 2-game slide, has had flashes of dominance against the Mets’ lineup last August, despite getting hit around. With both teams dealing with lineup concerns the run potential drops even lower. With early-season humidity still keeping balls inside the park and both bullpens rested, a low-scoring afternoon seems on deck. Given the stingy pitching and inconsistent offense, the under 7 runs gets an A for reliability and decent payout. Odds and availability are subject to change.
Led by a red-hot Francisco Lindor, the Mets head into this matinee showdown riding a six-game win streak, looking to extend their early season dominance over a Marlins team that's starting to settle into their expected form. Miami, despite a kind of hot start, has struggled to generate consistent production, which has been a thorn in their side forever. The Fish will lean heavily on guys like Otto Lopez and Dane Meyers, despite not posting the best hitting stats against Mets pitchers. On the flip side, New York’s Tylor Megill is set to take the mound, and he’s held the Marlins to a roughly .200 batting average across his last three starts against them. With the Mets’ bullpen finally showing some stability and Pete Alonso launching three homers in his last four games, they’re built to cover the -1.5 spread at home. Still early in the season, playoff stakes aren't in the foreground—but New York’s current rhythm shows value in a confident play. While not a slam dunk, there's enough in roster health, streak momentum, and matchup history to confidently back the Amazins’. Odds and availability are subject to change.
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