Marlins vs Mets
Momentum meets desperation under the Citi Field lights.

Marlins (62-70) VS Mets (71-61)
28 Aug 2025 | 7:10 PM ET | Citi Field, Queens, NY


New York enters this matchup with momentum, lineup depth, and a strong pitching edge, making them the side to back. Their starter has a proven track record against Miami and is supported by a bullpen that has been steady since the break. Offensively, the Mets are getting timely production from their core bats, while the Marlins remain short-handed and have struggled to string together wins without key arms and hitters. With New York also in the thick of the Wild Card race, the prediction leans toward the Mets on the moneyline as the sharper call.
From a betting perspective, this play is backed by both recent form and situational urgency. The Mets have performed well in their starter’s home outings, and Miami’s depleted roster has left them with limited ways to pressure quality pitching. Even at heavier juice, the combination of pitching, offense, and playoff motivation makes New York the side to trust. For bettors weighing the spot, the chalk is justified.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 28/08/2025 at 9:26am
Run prevention looks like the sharper angle in this Mets–Marlins matchup. New York’s starter has been excellent against Miami in prior meetings, and the Mets’ bullpen has been among the more reliable groups in the NL since the break. On the other side, Miami’s offense has been inconsistent without key contributors, ranking in the lower tier of production over the past two weeks. With both clubs leaning on pitching and neither lineup projecting as explosive, the prediction tilts toward the Under on 8.5 runs.
From a betting standpoint, the setup favors a slower game script. The Mets’ staff has been keeping opponents in check, while the Marlins’ pitching—though stretched—has managed to limit damage when avoiding crooked innings. Ballpark conditions in New York also tend to hold scoring down, especially in tighter divisional contests. For bettors considering the total, this matchup profiles better for runs staying contained rather than breaking out.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 28/08/2025 at 9:28am
Miami’s recent trend of keeping games close makes the run line worth a look in this divisional matchup. Their pitching staff has been effective at limiting damage, with the rotation and bullpen combining to reduce big innings, while their offense has just enough speed and contact ability to manufacture runs late. On the flip side, New York has not consistently converted wins into multi-run margins at home, which tilts the probability toward a tighter finish. The prediction leans to Miami +1.5 as the sharper play.
From a betting perspective, this angle is about margin rather than outcome. Even if the Mets continue their push in the Wild Card race, the likelihood of a slim victory is elevated given both their track record and Miami’s ability to hang around in losses. For bettors avoiding heavy chalk, taking the cushion provides steady value.
This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 28/08/2025 at 9:34am
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