Marlins vs Mets

With Kodai Senga scratched for the start of the season and now targeting a late-April return, the Mets have been relying on a patchwork rotation—but that hasn’t stopped the Amazins from ripping off four straight wins heading into this matchup. Now sitting at 6-3 and riding some solid early momentum, the Mets will send Clay Holmes to the mound, who will be making a rare start after transitioning from the bullpen. The Fish, on the other hand, have lost two of their last three and haven’t found consistency yet. Miami hands the ball to Connor Gillispie, a right-hander who’s shown flashes of potential but will be tested against a Mets lineup that’s clicking. Although Miami boasts a respectable group of bats, they have historically performed poorly at Citi Field, dropping five of their last six visits there. While neither squad is facing must-win pressure in early April, the Mets’ red-hot Pete Alonso—who has mashed Marlins pitching at home with a .340 average over the last two seasons—could turn the tide yet again. The Metropolitans' bullpen, anchored by Edwin Díaz's resurgence, gives New York a late-inning edge that the Marlins’ shaky relief corps just can't match right now. Take the Mets to cover the -1.5 spread at home, but the inconsistency in the rotation keeps this bet at a B- grade. Odds and availability are subject to change.

New York’s Clay Holmes will make a rare start for the Mets after working mostly in relief roles throughout his career, stepping into the rotation amidst early-season injuries. The Mets have ridden strong offensive play to a three-game win streak and now face a Marlins club missing key firepower. Miami’s offense has sputtered over their last two games, scoring just three runs total, and they now turn to Connor Gillispie on the mound, a young right-hander who has shown promise but lacks experience in high-leverage situations. While the matchup lacks postseason weight, both starters are unproven in their current roles, and offense may be hard to come by with early-season Northeast winds and Citi Field’s pitcher-friendly dimensions. Look for a tightly played game where the under could prove valuable. Odds and availability are subject to change.

After rattling off four straight wins, the Mets return home to face a scrappy but inconsistent Marlins squad that has dropped two of their last three. The Fish, riding early-season momentum from a few breakout bats, now hand the ball to Connor Gillispie, who will make his first major test of the season against a red-hot Mets offense. Meanwhile, New York will start Clay Holmes, who is stepping in from the bullpen to make a spot start as the Mets weather multiple rotation injuries. With Pete Alonso already mashing five homers in just nine games and Brandon Nimmo heating up at the top of the order, the Amazins are well-positioned to exploit Miami’s thin pitching depth. Though the -275 line limits value and inflates risk, New York’s roster health, current momentum, and bullpen advantage led by Edwin Díaz make them a reasonably confident pick. Still, due to the unusual pitching matchup and volatility, this bet receives a B- grade. Odds and availability are subject to change.