MLB

Marlins vs Cubs

Windy City momentum meets South Florida slump—guess who rides high?

Miami Marlins

Marlins (15-23) VS Cubs (23-17)

May 12 2025 | 7:40 p.m. ET | Wrigley Field, Chicago

Chicago Cubs
Moneyline Pick - Chicago Cubs (-250): B

Chicago enters this matchup riding some tough losses recently but are looking sharp on both sides of the ball, while Miami continues to struggle with seven losses in their last ten and a roster missing key pieces on the mound. The absence of both reliable starters and bullpen arms has exposed the Marlins in high-leverage situations, and Wrigley’s cooler May conditions further favour the home team’s pitching outlook.

The Cubs’ recent offensive rhythm, combined with strong bullpen performance and a comfortable matchup against a familiar opposing arm, give them a decisive edge here. While the price is steep, it reflects a well-rounded and in-form club facing an undermanned visitor.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/05/2025 09:46

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5 (-110): B

Chicago comes into this game kind of flat footed, while Miami looks to build on a rare win following a recent slump. Both teams are dealing with key absences that affect lineup depth and offensive rhythm, which helps set the tone for a lower-scoring affair. The pitching matchup features two right-handers with a similar pitch profiles, each capable of inducing soft contact and limiting big innings.

With power limited on both sides and an indoor setting that suppresses late fly-ball carry, this shapes up as a game where scoring opportunities could be scarce. The under presents solid value, particularly with both starters capable of working deep and minimizing mistakes.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/05/2025 09:46  

Spread Pick - Miami Marlins, +1.5 (+100): B-

Miami enters this matchup trying to steady itself after a 3-7 run, but they face a Cubs team currently sitting atop the NL Central standings, albeit with a thinned lineup due to key injuries. Both clubs send right-handers to the mound, and the weather projects to keep the ball in the park with a strong crosswind tamping down potential extra-base hits. That makes the run differential less likely to widen, especially with both teams leaning on capable bullpen arms in the later frames.

Given the conditions, pitching matchups, and cautious early-season bullpen usage, this game shapes up to be tighter than the line suggests. Backing Miami with the +1.5 cushion at even money offers solid value in what could turn into a low-scoring, closely managed affair.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/05/2025 09:46

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