Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore returns home on the heels of a three-game upswing, with improved bullpen form and a steady rotation helping them stabilize after some early-season inconsistency. Grayson Rodriguez is well-positioned to keep that trend alive against a Miami squad still missing key offensive contributors and dragging after a rough road stretch. The Marlins’ bullpen has struggled under heavy usage, while Baltimore’s relievers have kept opponents quiet in recent outings. With both teams hovering around Wild Card contention past the midway point, the edge leans toward the healthier roster playing at home.

This matchup presents solid value for Baltimore backers, especially given the comparative fatigue and lack of depth Miami faces. While neither side has much margin for error, the Orioles’ combination of timely hitting, bullpen control, and situational health suggests they’re more equipped to convert leverage moments into runs. Laying a moderate price at home is rarely ideal, but in this case, it tracks with the underlying form and matchup indicators.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 12/07/2025 at 10:00am

Neither team enters this contest on a high, with Baltimore and Miami both sitting below .500 and scuffling to find consistency at the plate. The Orioles lean on a strong stretch from Grayson Rodriguez, while the Marlins counter with Jesús Luzardo’s improving command against righties. With each club still mathematically in the playoff picture, game plans are likely to be tight and pitching-centric, especially with key bullpen pieces already sidelined. Given the absence of explosive recent offense, run production should come at a premium.

Miami’s lineup has struggled to capitalize against quality right-handers, and Baltimore hasn’t fared much better versus lefty arms like Luzardo. Add in solid recent bullpen metrics from both squads, and this matchup sets up for a more methodical, low-scoring affair than the total implies. Neither roster has flashed enough consistent power or on-base production lately to trust a breakout at the plate—making the under the more disciplined side to back in this spot.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 12/07/2025 at 10:01am

Miami heads into this matchup with a slight edge on the mound and in the bullpen, with Jesús Luzardo stringing together two strong starts and the relief corps recently ranking among the National League’s best. Baltimore, meanwhile, has dropped three straight and remains without its trusted closer, which puts added pressure on their starters to stretch deep into games. While the Orioles have right-handed bats that typically handle lefties well, they haven’t had much success historically against Luzardo, who has kept their top threats in check.

On the other side, Miami’s offense remains inconsistent but has flashed enough power—particularly from the left side—to challenge a Baltimore staff that has leaned heavily on its top arms. With both teams sitting outside the playoff picture and every game now weighing more heavily, the added run creates meaningful cushion for the visitors. Expect a tight contest, and in that kind of setting, grabbing +1.5 makes a lot of sense—even at elevated juice.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 12/07/2025 at 10:02am