NBA

MIA vs NYK

Empire State Triumph on the Horizon

Miami Heat

Heat (29-38) @ Knicks (42-24)

Mar 17, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET | Madison Square Garden

New York Knicks
Moneyline Pick: New York Knicks (-320) - B+

Tyler Herro remains a driving force for Miami, but the Heat’s seven-game losing streak has dampened hopes of upsetting a New York squad on a four-game tear. With Bam Adebayo carrying much of the load, Miami faces a daunting challenge against the Knicks, who have been relatively healthy and hold a favorable history on home court when hosting Eastern Conference foes. On top of their consistent interior dominance and the continued brilliance of Jalen Brunson and Julius Randle, New York’s strong run of form makes them a solid pick despite a less appealing payout. Bank on the Knicks to keep their momentum rolling at Madison Square Garden.

Over/Under Pick: Over 212.5, (-110) - B+

Miami’s Bam Adebayo arrives on a sour note as the Heat are currently on a seven-game losing slide, while the Knicks streak in a rough patch of form. Historically, the Heat have struggled at Madison Square Garden, averaging fewer than 100 points there in recent meetings; however, the combined scoring output of these teams against Eastern Conference rivals tends to push totals beyond the predicted mark. Expect a determined Miami squad eager to end its slump against a surging New York side that wants to protect its impressive home floor. This selection carries a solid payout if it hits, and that decent likelihood is why it earns a B+ for confidence. Ready for the fireworks?

Spread Pick: New York Knicks, -7.5 (-110) - B+

Karl-Anthony Towns has been scorching the nets lately, leading the Knicks on a recent winning streak while Miami stumbles in with back-to-back losses that have strained team morale. The Heat expect to have Bam Adebayo active. Meanwhile, New York enjoys a healthier roster, featuring Julius Randle and RJ Barrett at full strength, and they have traditionally defended their home floor with impressive results against Eastern Conference rivals. Riding that momentum, New York’s chances of covering the -7.5 spread stand firmly in their favor, earning this pick a B+ grade with a payout that rewards bettors at nearly even money.

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