Heat vs Mavericks

Grade B+: Heat Moneyline (-125)

Miami heads into this matchup looking to grind out a tough road win, while the Mavericks continue adjusting to life without Luka Dončić. The Heat’s defensive identity, led by Bam Adebayo, will be key in disrupting Dallas’ offensive rhythm, especially with their new primary scorers still settling into their roles. The Mavs, who have struggled against top-tier defences, will likely have trouble cracking Miami’s perimeter pressure and interior presence. Additionally, Dallas could be without key wing scorer Tim Hardaway Jr. (day-to-day with a hamstring strain), limiting their firepower. With the Heat still fighting for a Play-In spot and Dallas trying to maintain their playoff position, expect Miami to capitalize on their defensive advantage. Taking Miami Heat -125 on the Moneyline earns a B+ grade—a strong bet given Miami’s ability to execute in tight, physical matchups.

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