Heat vs Mavericks

Grade A+: Heat -1.5 (-105)

The Heat's tenacity on defence makes them a dangerous opponent, and against a Mavericks team still finding its identity, their ability to control the tempo should be the deciding factor. Miami’s roster, featuring Tyler Herro, provides enough offensive firepower to break down Dallas' inconsistent defence, which ranks in the bottom third of the league in defensive rating. The Mavs are adjusting to new leadership on offense, and with Tim Hardaway Jr. possibly side-lined, their perimeter scoring could take another hit. Miami’s experience in close battles should help them dictate the flow, and they’ve covered the spread in four of their last six games against Dallas. Betting Heat -1.5 (-106) is a B+ grade play—Miami’s defensive control and Dallas’ lack of a proven late-game closer make them the smarter pick.

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