CBB

Bonaventure Set to Dominate UMass on Match Day

Experience Strength Prevails as Bonnies Take Control

Massachusetts

Minutemen (7-9-12-17) VS Bonnies (7-9-19-10)

March 05, 2025 | 19:00 ET | Pinnacle Bank Arena

St. Bonaventure
Moneyline Pick: St. Bonaventure (-355) - A

St. Bonaventure's recent three-game winning streak, coupled with St. Bonaventure' key guard injury, gives the Minutemen a decisive edge. Historically, Bonaventure's star forward has consistently outperformed UMass' defense, making this matchup particularly favorable. Additionally, with St. Bonaventure having played over 41 games, their playoff aspirations add extra motivation. Considering these factors, the moneyline bet on St. Bonaventure at -355 is a solid A grade, offering reliable returns.

Over/Under Pick: Under 139, (-110) - B+
Massachusetts enters the matchup on a four-game losing streak, which could dampen their offensive output against a St. Bonaventure team grappling with key injuries to two of their starting guards. Furthermore, the matchup between Massachusetts' defensive stalwart and St. Bonaventure's leading scorer is expected to limit high-scoring opportunities. Considering Massachusetts' recent defensive improvements and St. Bonaventure's inconsistent shooting performance, the game is likely to stay below the 139-point mark. This pick earns a B+ grade due to favorable conditions and offers solid monetary value if the under holds, especially given both teams' struggles to maintain high-scoring games recently.
Spread Pick: Massachusetts, +8 (-110) - B

The University of Massachusetts enters this matchup with a surprising resilience, breaking a three-game losing streak that has invigorated their play on both ends of the court. Meanwhile, St. Bonaventure faces the challenge of key player injuries, notably a leading scorer sidelined for the game, which significantly weakens their offensive capabilities. Additionally, historical data shows that Massachusetts has consistently performed well against St. Bonaventure in conference play, often keeping games within the spread. These factors suggest that betting on Massachusetts to cover the +8 spread is a sensible choice, offering good value given the current dynamics. While the odds are balanced, the combination of Massachusetts's recent turnaround, St. Bonaventure's injury woes, and favorable historical trends make this a promising bet.

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