NBA

Lakers vs Thunder

A Thunderous finish looms as L.A.'s streak collides with OKC's juggernaut

Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers (47-30) VS Rumble the Bison (64-13)

Apr 08, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Oklahoma City Thunder
Moneyline Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder (-900) – Grade: B

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the first-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder roll into Tuesday’s matchup riding a three-game win streak, not six, looking every bit like a top-tier contender in the Western Conference. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Lakers, winners of two straight, enter hot but still find themselves clinging to play-in territory despite LeBron James' continued brilliance. However, Los Angeles will take the floor without key bench contributor Gabe Vincent (knee) and with D’Angelo Russell nursing a questionable wrist injury, which weakens their perimeter scoring. Oklahoma City’s full-strength roster, bolstered by Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, has had success against L.A. this season, winning the season series 2-1. With the Thunder boasting the NBA’s best home record and aiming for a top overall playoff seed, expect them to treat this matchup seriously—especially against a squad they could later face in the postseason. Still, the steep odds (-900) offer little payout value, making this a low-reward bet despite high potential reliability. Recommendation: Consider this a safe but low-yield wager; Grade: B. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Over/Under Pick: Under 226, (-110) - Grade: B

Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been lighting up the league during OKC’s current six-game win streak, and with Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren healthy, the young squad has proven they can close out games with mature poise. However, facing the Lakers on the road with limited rest and already clinching the top seed in the West may encourage the Thunder to throttle minutes in preparation for the postseason. The Purple and Gold remain dangerous, despite coming off a tough home loss, with LeBron James continuing to elevate his game against former teammates. That said, L.A. tends to play a more grind-it-out style at home late in the season, highlighted by a recent trend of six straight unders when hosting top-five teams. Historically, James averages just under 25 points per game against OKC, but when burdened with playmaking duties and L.A.'s uncertain post-injury efficiency, the scoring pace likely dips. Add in playoff seeding pressure on the Lakers—currently fighting to stay out of the play-in—and this could tip in favor of a more defensive performance. With playoff energy rising and both teams expected to tighten up rotations, the Under sits as the smarter value play. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Spread Pick: Los Angeles Lakers, +14 (-105) - Grade: B

After snapping a two-game skid with a commanding win over Minnesota, the Los Angeles Lakers are showing signs of peaking at the right time. Though out of MVP contention, LeBron James remains the floor general for L.A., and with Anthony Davis likely returning from his sore knee, the Lakers gain much-needed inside resistance against Chet Holmgren and the high-flying Thunder. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is riding a three-game win streak, not six, and is looking to clinch the No. 1 seed outright. However, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is nursing a nagging ankle issue, and Jalen Williams is questionable, so the Thunder may not push full throttle late in the season. Historically, LeBron has elevated his game against his former understudy in SGA, and L.A. took OKC to the wire earlier this season even in defeat. With playoff positioning critical for the Lakers and the point spread sitting at a hefty +14, the Lakers covering at home in front of a playoff-hungry crowd feels like solid value. This pick earns a B grade due to strong motivation on L.A.’s side, potential OKC load management, and the sheer gap in the spread. Odds and availability are subject to change.

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