NBA

Lakers vs Mavericks

Offensive firepower outpaces depleted Mavs in critical seeding battle

Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers (47-30) VS Champ (38-41)

April 09, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET | Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

Dallas Mavericks
Moneyline Pick: Los Angeles Lakers (-225) - Grade: B

With the Lakers riding a strong four-game winning streak and the Mavericks struggling through a three-game skid, the Purple & Gold enter this matchup with momentum firmly on their side. Dallas continues to miss defensive anchor Anthony Davis, who was traded to the Mavericks earlier this year but is currently healthy and active, not injured. Meanwhile, Dereck Lively II is not injured and is available, strengthening Dallas’ frontcourt alongside Daniel Gafford and Dwight Powell. On the Lakers’ side, Luka Dončić is no longer on the Mavericks, having been traded to Los Angeles, where he now lines up alongside LeBron James, who is still averaging strong numbers in his 22nd season. With Dončić and James powering the offense, the Lakers are one win away from securing a top-six playoff seed and are expected to play with urgency. The Mavericks, now officially eliminated from top-six contention, will rely on Kyrie Irving and Klay Thompson to provide offensive firepower, though recent bench struggles remain a concern. Considering all variables, the Lakers’ moneyline is a decent value despite being a more expensive play, earning this pick a solid B grade. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Over/Under Pick: Under 228, (-110) - Grade: B

The Mavericks enter Wednesday night’s matchup riding a disappointing four-game skid, and while Kyrie Irving is healthy and expected to play, they’ll still be heavily reliant on his shot creation and leadership alongside Klay Thompson and P.J. Washington. Luka Dončić is no longer on the Mavericks, having been traded to the Lakers, where he now stars alongside LeBron James. Los Angeles—winners of six of their last seven—continue to climb the Western Conference standings with Dončić and James both healthy and locked in. While the Purple and Gold's offense has exploded in recent wins, they’ve also stepped up defensively, holding opponents under 110 points four times in that span. These two squads tend to produce more methodical games when facing each other—the average combined score in their last three meetings sits just under 214. With Dallas fighting to stay afloat in the play-in race and the Lakers aiming to secure home court, expect a slower tempo and a playoff-style defensive effort from both sides. Despite the star power, this contest is setting up to stay under the total. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Spread Pick: Dallas Mavericks, +5 (-105) - Grade: B

Luka Dončić is now a Laker, but the Slovenian maestro still carries the offensive load with flair, especially in big moments. The Lakers ride a four-game winning streak and boast two top-tier stars in Dončić and LeBron James, both healthy heading into tonight’s matchup. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have dropped four of their last five but remain in the thick of the play-in picture, led by Kyrie Irving, Klay Thompson, and a healthy frontcourt of Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively II. Anthony Davis is no longer on the Lakers, having been traded to Dallas, where he’s fully healthy and expected to start. While Davis's presence gives Dallas a boost on both ends, the Lakers’ current roster composition and recent form give them the edge. With playoff urgency higher on L.A.’s side and Dončić averaging 29 points and 10 assists over his last five meetings against Dallas, the Lakers should control the tempo and the scoreboard. This matchup may not scream upset, but taking the Lakers to cover offers solid value. Odds and availability are subject to change.

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