MLB

Dodgers vs Pirates

Blue bats look primed to plunder the Buccos’ bullpen

Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers (78-60) VS Pirates (62-77)

04 Sep 2025 | 6:40 PM ET | PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Pirates
Moneyline Pick - Los Angeles Dodgers (-125): B

Los Angeles enters this matchup in strong form, carrying momentum from a productive stretch and showing little sign of slowing against a Pittsburgh squad struggling to generate offense. The Dodgers’ rotation has been sharp, and when paired with their depth in relief, they’ve managed to control game flow in recent weeks. Pittsburgh, by contrast, has been limited at the plate, with lineup absences contributing to suppressed run totals and putting additional strain on their starter to navigate a powerful opponent. With postseason positioning still very much in play for Los Angeles, the situational edge rests firmly with the visitors, making this prediction one that relies on stability and overall roster balance.

From a betting perspective, siding with Los Angeles feels like the clearer pick, as the matchup heavily favors their proven ability to produce runs against limited resistance. The Pirates’ lack of consistent scoring punch reduces the margin for error, and even in their own ballpark, the matchup metrics tilt toward the road favorite. It’s the kind of bet that feels rooted in dependable factors—pitching consistency, offensive depth, and playoff drive—rather than streaks or short-term noise. That combination makes the Dodgers the logical choice in this spot.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 04/10/2025 at 9:04am

Over/Under Pick - Over 7 (-120): B+

Both starters bring name recognition, but the more telling storyline sits behind them: two bullpens that have struggled to keep runs off the board since midseason. That volatility matches up poorly against a Dodgers offense that has been producing at a high clip, regularly putting crooked numbers on the scoreboard. Even with Pittsburgh’s lineup missing pieces, their familiarity with Los Angeles arms and the hitter-friendly conditions in early September create an environment where run prevention feels less certain. Historical scoring in this series adds another layer, showing that these matchups tend to push totals higher than expected, supporting a prediction built on sustained offensive trends.

From a betting angle, the over emerges as the smarter pick, with both sides capable of contributing enough to push the total beyond a modest number. Los Angeles brings the heavier bat potential, but Pittsburgh doesn’t need to do much to hold up their share against a relief corps that has been leaky in recent weeks. Weather influence only strengthens the case, providing a subtle boost to balls in play. All told, this prediction focuses less on individual star power and more on systemic factors—shaky pens, hot bats, and a reachable line—that make the over an appealing bet.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 04/10/2025 at 9:06am

Spread Pick - Los Angeles Dodgers, -1.5 (-143): B-

Los Angeles continues to profile as a team that not only wins but often does so with margin, as their run line track record has been strong in recent weeks. The Dodgers’ offensive depth puts consistent pressure on opposing starters, and when that spills into the later innings, it often snowballs into comfortable finishes. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has been undermined by bullpen absences and limited relief options, making it difficult to contain opponents once cracks appear. With postseason positioning sharpening the Dodgers’ focus, the matchup sets up as one where a multi-run outcome remains firmly in play, making this prediction a reflection of broader trends rather than isolated stats.

For bettors, backing Los Angeles on the run line offers value given the contrast between these two clubs’ late-game profiles. The Dodgers’ ability to string together rallies contrasts with a Pittsburgh side that has struggled to cover spreads when behind, creating a logical lean toward the visiting favorite. Even in what could begin as a close duel, depth and urgency tend to separate the two late, turning narrow leads into decisive wins. As a bet, it aligns with the patterns of both teams and highlights why this pick carries more confidence than chance.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 04/10/2025 at 9:06am

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