MLB

Dodgers vs Marlins

Star-studded bats poised to drown Fish in their own tank.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers (23-11) VS Marlins (13-20)

May 06, 2025 | 6:40 PM ET | loanDepot park – Miami

Miami Marlins
Moneyline Pick – Los Angeles Dodgers (-278): Grade A

Los Angeles enters this matchup riding an 8-2 run, powered by a surging offense and improved bullpen consistency. The team is capitalizing on favorable matchups and depth, especially against left-handed pitching, which continues to be a soft spot for Miami. The Marlins, mired in a two-game losing streak, remain short-handed without their frontline starter and have struggled to contain Los Angeles in recent meetings. Miami's starter has not fared well historically against this opponent, adding to the concerns. Even with some bullpen absences, Los Angeles has maintained sub-3.00 ERA relief work over the past week, while Miami’s bullpen has faltered, blowing multiple leads during its current home stand.

L.A. is a heavy favorite, so the odds don’t offer major payout value, but the confidence level in this side is high given the form, matchup history, and contrasting bullpen performance. Sometimes it’s not about chasing the big number but backing the right situation, and this one checks enough boxes to lock in an A-grade bet.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/05/2025 09:40

Over/Under Pick - Over 9.5, (-115): B

Los Angeles rolls into Miami on a heater, while the Marlins look to regroup after dropping two straight and battling through key injuries in both the rotation and bullpen. Miami turns to a right-hander who has struggled in multiple previous matchups against this opponent, and a taxed relief corps doesn't inspire confidence after heavy weekend usage. The visitors, meanwhile, continue to mash, and their recent dominance at the plate pairs well with solid, if not overpowering, starting pitching to create potential for early offense. Add in the neutral weather conditions under the roof, and there's little to suppress scoring opportunities on either side.

You don’t need perfect weather to bet the over here. Both lineups are fully capable of producing runs—especially against a Miami staff that's both banged up and overworked. With the total sitting at 9.5, this feels like a ripe spot for consistent scoring to carry the number over the line. I like this play enough to give it a solid A rating.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/05/2025 09:40

Spread Pick - Miami Marlins, +1.5 (-143): B-

Los Angeles enters this one on an 8-2 run in their last ten. The Marlins benefit from a healthier lineup and face a visiting team that's short-handed, with key contributors being managed or sidelined. The Dodgers are expected to use a bulk reliever approach, which could limit their flexibility later in the game. Miami’s recent bullpen form has been strong, and their offensive approach favors contact over power, which matches up well against swing-and-miss arms in late innings.

Even with Los Angeles boasting big names and momentum, the runline offers value on the home side. Getting 1.5 runs with a team that's playing more competitively than their record suggests makes this a smart play—especially in a spot where one or two bullpen missteps could swing things. Sometimes grabbing the cushion is the right move, and this matchup earns a B+ grade for solid value with a margin of safety.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/05/2025 09:40

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